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The Narrative Collapsed and Ethereum Is Cheap. Is ETH finally a buy? The Ethereum options market is seeing unusually large put buying activity, with the $1,800 and $1,900 strikes attracting flows running approximately five times above normal levels. Since issuing our high-conviction short on May 16, 2026, Ethereum has declined 10%. But our bearish thesis predates that call. On October 31, 2025, with ETH trading at $3,800, we identified Ethereum as the smarter hedge. Prices have since fallen 47% (see also our interview from November). The thesis was always fundamental. The market is simply catching up. In early April 2026, with Ethereum trading near $2,000, we revisited our fundamental view, examining whether the conditions for a buy had emerged and what the real structural issues were. Today, we return to that question. Ethereum is cheap. But cheap is not the same as a buying opportunity. Fundamentals ultimately determine price; marketing narratives can only sustain a divergence for so long before reality reasserts itself. We have seen that cycle play out once already. So what has changed? Let us approach Ethereum from a different angle entirely. See our full report below.

The CIA’s Post-War Vassalization of Japan Until 1941, Japan carried out these crimes against humanity with the assistance of the United States and Britain. And the pro-Kuomintang China Lobby inside the United States and the Wisemen (John J. McCloy, Dean Acheson, Averell Harriman, etc.) prevented the Roosevelt Administration from even engaging with the Communist Party of China led by Mao Zedong. This was despite the fact that General Joseph Stilwell, Colonel David Barrett, and John S. Service described the People’s Liberation Army as the most effective fighting force against the Japanese Imperial Army, as opposed to Chiang Kai Shek who was more concerned with repressing internal opponents and had zero interest in uniting with the Communist Party to fight against the Japanese occupation, despite the support for a united front from Mao and Stilwell. That year though, the US, Britain and the Netherlands finally decided to take action against Japan for its imperial aggression in China and the Asian continent, imposing crushing oil embargo. It was on that basis that Japan attacked Pearl Harbor, bringing the United States into World War II. However, after World War II, John J. McCloy became the President of the World Bank and decided that the new strategy was to once again build up Japan as an opponent to China and the Soviet Union. According to Washington and the US Treasury, the policy was supposed to be that all Asian countries are subservient to a new Japanese empire that was really just a colony of the US. And the role of this new US-led Asian order is that all countries on the continent were to export raw materials to Japan so that they can be turned into manufactured goods. This strongly differed from the approach of US President Ulysses S. Grant who toured Asia after leaving office and advocated for China to lead the way on the continent’s industrial and commercial development. He further emphasized a US-China relationship that is based on mutual respect and explicitly denounced European colonialism. And now newly declassified JFK Files released by the Trump Administration reveal how Japan, through the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, became a permanent US vassal during the Cold War with CIA funding. One document in particular from March 1996 reveals that Washington and Tokyo were still working overtime to hide the existence of the CIA’s Tokyo Station. And their reasoning was the protect this notion that Washington created that Japan was a sovereign state. The US State Department memo was titled “Official Acknowledgement of Tokyo Station” and it shows former US Vice President turned Ambassador to Japan Walter Mondale, along with Japanese officials in Tokyo, in full damage-control mode. Two years before, the New York Times wrote a report exposing secret CIA funding for Japan’s ruling right-wing Liberal Democratic Party during the 1950s and 1960s. Their fear was that if they confirmed the CIA’s presence in Tokyo, it would re-ignite the scandal by confirming the allegations in the NYT’s report. Then-Japanese Foreign Affairs Minister Yohei Kono warned Mondale to keep it secret because the official confirmation would hurt the LDP far more than the NYT’s allegations and threaten the entire post-war security framework between the Washington and Tokyo because it would expose Japan as nothing more than an imperial colony dependent on the United States. Kono had previously claimed, in response to NYT’s allegations, that Japan had “no knowledge” of any organized CIA presence inside the country.

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🇨🇳 Over 2,000 people in China joined a challenge where they had to finish a bowl of food in a fake classroom without getting caught by “teachers” within 10 minutes. Finally a use for all those years of practice.

Yesterday, our industry witnessed something unprecedented. In the past, when a CEX faced negative news, users could still freely move their assets to another platform. But this time, many users discovered something alarming: They were not unable to leave HTX — they suddenly had nowhere to go. Following the UK sanctions-related concerns around HTX, some third-party risk-control systems broadly labeled wallets interacting with HTX as “high risk.” As a result, many normal users experienced: restricted transfers, blocked transactions, and in some extreme cases, frozen accounts on other platforms simply for depositing funds from HTX. This level of large-scale, indiscriminate risk control against ordinary users is unprecedented in crypto history. What makes this even more troubling is: HTX itself is operating normally. Trading, deposits, withdrawals, and OTC services are all functioning as usual. But somehow, the users became the problem. And that is something the entire industry should reflect on. Because the people being affected are not “HTX users” alone. They also trade on Binance, OKX, Bybit, Coinbase, and many others. They belong to the crypto industry as a whole. If concerns exist around a platform, then measures should target the platform itself — not ordinary users through broad collateral damage. At the moment, HTX withdrawals remain fully operational. Users can still move assets on-chain. But if users eventually feel safer keeping funds only on-chain, or exiting entirely through OTC markets, then this is no longer an HTX issue. It becomes a crisis of trust for all centralized exchanges. And in a market already struggling with weak confidence, this could cause lasting damage to the entire industry. To put it simply: Crypto can survive without HTX. But crypto cannot survive without user trust. We want to clearly state: HTX fully supports compliance efforts and is actively cooperating with all relevant parties to resolve misunderstandings as quickly as possible. We respect the need for exchanges to follow compliance requirements. But we also believe ordinary users should not become victims of flawed or overly broad risk-control systems. Therefore, we sincerely call on all exchanges and industry partners to: 1️⃣ Work together with third-party security and compliance providers to address the current situation affecting users, and improve industry-wide risk-control standards. 2️⃣ Implement more precise review mechanisms for normal users interacting with HTX, so legitimate funds and users are not unfairly impacted. HTX is fully willing to cooperate throughout this process. Finally, to everyone who still trusts HTX and continues to keep assets on our platform: Thank you. HTX will not run away. We will stay here, face the situation directly, and continue working until these issues are fully resolved.

🇺🇸 A CIA officer got caught with $40 million in gold bars at home. David Rush had a Top-Secret clearance, a senior management position at the CIA, and apparently a very interesting storage situation. Federal agents raided his house last week and walked out with 300 gold bars worth over $40 million, $2 million in cash, and 35 luxury watches, mostly Rolexes. His explanation for the gold? "Work-related expenses." It gets wilder. The man spent nearly 20 years lying about his entire background, fake degrees, a Navy pilot career that never happened, none of it was real. He applied to the CIA three times before finally getting in, adding more fake credentials each time until something stuck. The CIA caught him through an internal investigation and handed it to the FBI. The real question nobody wants to answer is how someone with a completely fabricated resume held Top-Secret clearance for two decades without anyone noticing. Source: NBC NEWS

Here is how orbital compute ties the three segments into one unstoppable system: Space: Starship gives ultra-cheap, high-cadence launch capacity to deploy massive amounts of compute hardware into orbit. Connectivity: Starlink’s laser inter-satellite links turn thousands (eventually millions) of satellites into a distributed, low-latency orbital supercomputer network with fast Earth downlink. And finally, AI segment runs and monetizes the actual compute, training and inference at unprecedented scale.

INTERVIEW: near:native’s AI Money Thesis—Intents, Privacy, & Tokenomics | Sal Ternullo @NEARProtocol keeps showing up in strange places: cross-chain wallets, privacy apps, AI infrastructure, and now the emerging agent economy. @sal_ternullo, CEO of @svrn_ai, joins us to explain why he thinks this is not another NEAR pivot, but the original thesis finally coming into focus. They dig into NEAR Intents, AI money, tokenomics, privacy, fee capture, agentic commerce, and why SVRN is trying to commercialize the NEAR ecosystem rather than simply hold the asset. [TIMESTAMPS] 0:00 Intro 2:23 Why NEAR Keeps Showing Up 3:58 Pivot or Return to Roots? 5:34 The “AI Money” Thesis 7:47 Intents, Zashi, and Real Product Market Fit 9:31 Tokenomics, Buybacks, & Value Accrual 12:39 NEAR’s Different Approach From Ethereum 15:54 Fees, Scaling, and First-Party Apps 20:57 Cross-Chain Liquidity as NEAR’s Moat 25:14 The Contrarian Investor Case for NEAR 28:20 Privacy, Enterprises, and AI Agents 36:25 What SVRN Is Building for NEAR 42:48 Investor Sentiment & Final Thoughts