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Market Overview: 🔹 Crypto mcap down 4.26% to $2.47T. BTC -4.52%, ETH -13.57%. 🔹 Long liquidations hit $654M on Thursday, nearly double the usual. 🔹 Funding rates rising across majors despite the drawdown. 🔹 Strategy buys zero BTC this week, repurchases $1.5B in 2029 convertible notes instead. 🔹 MasterCard secures NY BitLicense for stablecoin and digital payment infrastructure. 🔹 Grayscale delays its IPO to at least Q4 2026, citing market conditions. 🔹 S&P +2.06%, Nasdaq +3.68% as equities soared while crypto failed to find a bid. 2/6

吴说获悉，Grayscale 发布 Hyperliquid 研究报告称，该平台已成为当前加密行业增长最快的 DeFi 交易平台之一。报告指出，Hyperliquid 专注于永续合约交易，2025 年永续合约交易量约为 2.9 万亿美元，当前未平仓合约规模约 70 亿美元，已成为全球第三或第四大加密永续合约交易平台。报告同时提到，HYPE 代币年化波动率约为 Bitcoin 的两倍，Hyperliquid 当前验证者结构相对集中，且核心软件仍为闭源；此外，其未来增长空间部分仍取决于美国监管环境变化，以及永续合约产品在美国市场获得更明确的监管框架。

Stablecoins just hit $320B in total supply, closing in on the biggest U.S. government money market funds. They now settle trillions of dollars in annual onchain volume, are held in tens of millions of wallets worldwide, and serve as the base layer for nearly every major DeFi market, including lending, DEXs, and tokenized real-world assets. Dollar liquidity is quickly migrating onto open, programmable rails, and the next decade of finance will be written on top of these rails. We intend to make sure they stay open, neutral, and accountable to the people who use them. Chart via @Grayscale.

The market is sending two completely different signals at the same time right now. ➛ $BTC is stuck at $77K. Same range it's been in for weeks. ➛ $HYPE just hit a new ATH at $64.13. Up 46% in 7 days. ➛ $SOL up 15% this week. This kind of divergence doesn't happen randomly. There's a read here. ➛ What's actually going on. $BTC is a macro trade right now. We've talked about this before the DXY correlation is at a 4-year extreme. As long as the Fed stays hawkish and the dollar holds, $BTC doesn't move. It's not weak. It's just being held hostage by the same macro pressure that's been sitting on it since February. Meanwhile $HYPE and $SOL are moving on protocol fundamentals, not macro. $HYPE hit ATH because of real inflows 21Shares ETF, Grayscale's $25M, pre-IPO perps for SpaceX and OpenAI bringing a completely new user base onto the platform. These aren't narratives. These are product milestones driving actual revenue. $SOL is moving because Alpenglow is real, Western Union launched USDPT on Solana, and institutional rails are being built on top of it right now. ➛ Here's my actual read on the divergence. When alts outperform $BTC this aggressively in a risk-off macro environment, it usually means one of two things. Either the broader market is about to catch up and $BTC breaks out too. Or the alts are running ahead of themselves and they retrace hard the moment $BTC gets any macro pressure. The difference between those two scenarios comes down to whether the flows are real or rotational. ‣ If institutions are genuinely buying $HYPE spot through ETFs while staying underweight $BTC that's a structural shift. New money entering through a new product. ‣ If it's crypto-native capital rotating out of $BTC into alts chasing momentum that's a top signal, not a breakout signal. Right now it looks like both are happening simultaneously. The ETF flows into $HYPE are new money. The $SOL and broader altcoin moves feel more rotational. And $BTC dominance is still at 58-60%, which means the rotation hasn't gone far enough to call this a real altseason. ➛ What I'm actually watching. If $BTC breaks above $83K with volume, the divergence resolves bullishly everything follows. If $BTC stays range-bound and alts keep pushing, you're looking at a classic distribution setup where early holders exit into retail momentum. The SBR announcement coming "in the next few weeks" is the wildcard. 328K $BTC officially off the market, no-sell policy codified, potentially first open-market purchase signal for Q4. That's a $BTC-specific catalyst that has nothing to do with macro. If that drops while $BTC is still at $77K, you get the breakout. If it drops after alts have already run 50-100% more, you get a very crowded trade. I'm watching $BTC dominance more than price right now. That's the real tell.

LATEST: 🇺🇸 Grayscale says Ethereum, Solana, BNB Chain, and Canton Network are most poised to benefit from the CLARITY Act, citing tokenization, DeFi, and stablecoin demand.

NEW: @Grayscale submits another Hyperliquid ETF filing! This one is amendment #3#. Ticker will be $GHYP when it launches. Have to assume we are getting closer to a launch where we'll have three hyperliquid:native ETFs on U.S. exchanges

BTC peaked in October, if the cycle holds, it bottoms in October. Then $250k by 2029. Crypto Daybook Americas, presented by @Grayscale Your daily crypto market analysis:

在币圈，你必须知道的 比特币十大持有者排行榜 1. 中本聪 —— 约109.6万枚BTC（约5.5%） 比特币之父，永恒的传奇缔造者，那份沉睡的巨力，永远点亮着整个行业的星辰大海！ 2. Coinbase交易所 —— 约95.8万枚BTC 机构级守护者，汇聚全球梦想，铸就坚不可摧的财富堡垒！ 3. Strategy公司（前MicroStrategy） —— 约84.3万枚BTC，已雄踞4.02%供应量！ 4. BlackRock（贝莱德） —— 约81.4万枚BTC 全球资产巨擘，以ETF之名，掀起机构入场的狂潮！ 5. Binance（币安）—— 约63.4万枚BTC 交易平台霸主，连接亿万用户，铸造流动性的不朽神话！ 6. Fidelity Custody —— 约45.2万枚BTC 忠诚的财富管家，为传统与未来的融合保驾护航！ 7. 美国政府 —— 约32.8万枚BTC 国家战略储备，彰显主权级对话加密时代的磅礴力量！ 8.Tether（泰达币） —— 约29.6万枚BTC 稳定币帝国的无冕之王，以海量比特币储备为后盾，牢牢绑定全球金融血脉。 9.Grayscale Bitcoin Trust（灰度比特币信托） —— 约22.1万枚BTC 机构投资的开山鼻祖，以信托之名汇聚万亿资金。 10.Bitwise Bitcoin ETF（与其他顶级ETF/主权实体联合持有） —— 约18.7万枚BTC 新一代ETF的闪电先锋。

The decentralized intelligence thesis keeps building. Grayscale Bittensor Trust (ticker: $GTAO) is open for private placement for eligible accredited investors. Learn more and see important disclosures: