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不少圈内玩家都在讨论当下Polymarket的真实行业现状： 普通参与者还停留在手动刷新盘面、紧盯涨跌行情的阶段，各类自动化交易脚本早已在GitHub完全开源对外开放。 整理8套不同赛道免费自动化程序，每一份开源项目都附带完整英文部署文档与功能详细说明： 1. CloddsBot 出自剑桥黑客松参赛项目，整合118套成熟交易策略，覆盖币安跨盘价差套利、趋势追踪、低价合约收割、智能委托、定期定投、到期价差抓取等多种玩法 2. polymarket_lp_tool 主打平台流动性订单自动化管理，核心作用提升流动性挖矿带来的奖励收益 3. Kalshi Weather Model 气象专项机器学习程序，不直接照搬公开气象播报数据，依托多年气象多维度数据集修正预测误差 4. Polymarket-Kalshi Arbitrage Bot 自动扫描两大预测平台之间存在无风险价差的机会，一键执行跨盘套利 5. Polymarket-bot 内置优质交易者筛选机制，自动筛选高胜率、稳定盈利钱包，生成自动化跟单队列 6. Prediction Markets Trading Bot Toolkits 全能型综合工具集合，支持跟单复制、跨市场套利、大户持仓监控、流动性做市、点差复利、体育赛事合约交易等多种功能 7. PolyWeather 国内开发者开发气象专用脚本，实时同步气象预报、机场观测、航空气象数据，生成指定周期城市气象分析报告 8. Awesome Prediction Market Tools 整合三十余款预测市场配套机器人与辅助工具合集 绝大多数开源工具都搭载Dry Run模拟运行模式，可以依托真实行情数据校验策略逻辑，无需动用自有资金实操。 客观来讲，如今的Polymarket早已不只是简单事件押注场所，而是量化代码、AI智能代理、程序开发者聚集的交易赛道。 Polymarket中文访问入口： 提醒各位，不要刚接触就直接实盘操作，务必通读源码、完整跑完模拟测试、吃透策略底层逻辑再做考量。 需要自动化同步高手交易的工具，我日常在用PolyCop： #Polymarket#

Kelsey Plum makes her debut for the Phoenix Mercury tonight against the Chicago Sky at Wintrust Arena. Here’s the game preview, prediction, injury report, and how to watch, stream for free.

This week sovereign wealth-backed capital came onchain, retail giants opened Solana to 8M+ households, and tokenized asset volume smashed another all-time high. Here's everything that shipped: 📰 Headline News - Morgan Stanley made Solana available to eligible E*TRADE clients, opening access across 8.7 million households - @Mubadala Capital’s Alternative Solutions Fund went live on Solana via @KAIO_xyz - @tryramp opened 24/7 stablecoin accounts and payments settling on Solana 📰 Launches - Intel tokenized stock ($INTC) went live via @Backpack Securities and @sunrise - @jtx_trade opened its unified trading surface for majors, memes, and RWAs to everyone - @LayerZero_Core and @KeetaNetwork brought tokenized bank deposits to Solana - @MetaMask activated gasless Solana swaps, covering gas fees for trades over $200 - @Lexur launched in public beta, aggregating Solana perps across Pacifica, Jupiter, Bullet, and more - @dopplerprotocol went live on Solana Mainnet - @hylo_so shipped xBTC, bringing liquidation-resistant 3x BTC exposure onchain - @Bulletxyz launched 24/7 trading with up to 10x leverage for metals, oil, and chipmakers - @trydapital debuted Dapital, a social trading network for RWAs, memes, and tokens - @altitude introduced Altitude Accounting to automate transaction classification - @Thea_AI launched AI inference routing and settlement on Solana - @RyderWallet added native SOL staking on Ryder One via @Meria_Finance and @yieldxyz - @CandyDigital enabled true self-custody for digital collectibles on Solana - @meleemarkets unveiled Parimutuel Market Maker (PMM) design for permissionless prediction markets - @Pumpfun introduced BOOST mode to reinject post-migration liquidity into token buybacks and burns - @risedotrich enabled cross-chain swaps to Solana powered by @deloraprotocol - @Beezie went live with zero-recycled-slab claw machine collectibles - @BananaZoneApp shipped Paid Play for @solanamobile users with real rewards - @streamflow_fi enabled NFT locking for time-bound collectible custody - @backyard_fi kicked off Backyard BBQ: Season 0 for yield rewards - @cleopetrafun launched Thesis Index to trade macro theses via prediction market baskets - @flint_trade_ launched streamlined liquidity quoting for Solana market makers - @tapmapfun launched Treasure Hunt for local business check-ins and rewards - @machinedotfun, @codecopenflow, and @peaq opened applications for The Foundry, a Physical AI accelerator - @TryNoahAI opened waitlists for Noah Accelerate to support Solana builders - @magicblock and @SuperteamMY opened applications for their VIP builder program - @fairdotclub partnered with @LaFamilia_so to expand private capital formation 📰 Milestones - Tokenized-asset trading volume on Solana reached a record $5.8B in Q2, up 114% QoQ - @byreal_io surpassed $4B in total trading volume - @kamino’s OnRe Market passed $200M in total market size - @humafinance PST crossed $200M market cap - @ExponentFinance crossed $120M TVL - @usdgo_official crossed $1B in circulating supply in 5 months - @Beezie reached $2M in total volume across 5965 claw pulls - Solana consumer card top-ups reached a record $94.32M in a single month in Q2 - @fomo logged 17.4K active daily traders executing on Solana If you enjoyed this week’s newsletter, please share it with an RT. Artwork by @Suffoca 🔥

National women's sports reporter for USA TODAY, @Callie__Fin joins The Association ahead of tonight's game to break down Azzi Fudd's performance in the 3-Point Contest, look ahead to the rest of the WNBA season, and share her All-Star Game predictions. The AT&T WNBA All-Star Game tips off tonight at 8:30pm/et on ABC.

I listened to 85 minutes of The Economist’s interview of Elon so you don’t have to. Besides, it’s behind a paywall. Elon’s predictions: In five years, AI compute will exceed the sum of all human intelligence. In ten years, we will have reached the age of abundance. Money won’t matter. Everyone will have what they need or want (at least in economies that embrace AI). Ms. Beddoes tried to pin Elon down on how the economy will transform that way, but he wouldn’t get into specifics beyond noting that widespread AI robotics is a deflationary force. This means governments won’t need to raise taxes for universal basic income schemes, or, as Elon likes to call it, universal high income, since they will simply be able to print money to ward off deflation caused by the robot economy. She noted that Elon appears to have a more sanguine view of AI lately. He replied that he’s concluded superintelligent AI is now inevitable, so there’s no point trying to stop or slow it down, it can’t be done. We might as well enjoy the ride. The interviewer also noted that Mars no longer seems to be Elon’s overall ambition. He answered that his real mission was always to propagate and preserve human consciousness into the far future. Mars was just a vehicle for that. But now AI is a very important part of that goal. AI will necessarily be part of any future plan. And then came the oh-so-typical, increasingly tiresome part of most long journalist interviews: the interviewer constructs a straw-man version of Elon and argues against it. Elon carefully explained that he isn’t a raging far-right extremist, racist Nazi who kills puppies … and the journalist still didn't believe it. It is so effing tiresome. The lack of self-awareness on the part of journalists is off the charts. She complained about Elon’s supposed misperception of how dangerous London is, while remaining oblivious to the role she plays in creating the giant misperception of Elon as a person in her own writing. Elon defended his political views, saying he is for secure borders, locking up criminals, and balanced government spending, something even she had to admit didn’t sound crazy. And… that’s about it for an 85-minute interview. I couldn’t help but think that the next long-form interview Elon does should be conducted by an AI.

First Principles Ep. 6 with Ron Rivest Long before the internet became a place to bank, transact, or build blockchains, Turing Award winner Ron Rivest helped solve a foundational problem: how can strangers communicate securely without first meeting to exchange a secret? Rivest tells the story of inventing RSA with Adi Shamir and Leonard Adleman, why digital signatures fascinated him even more than encryption, and how cryptographic hashes, government pressure, patents, and standards shaped the security infrastructure we rely on today. Rivest shares his unusually candid views on quantum computing, post-quantum security, and more. Hosted by @Tim_Roughgarden with @danboneh. 00:00 Intro: the two problems that could break modern cryptography 01:10 Why Ron Rivest’s work underpins the internet and blockchains 08:10 Before public-key cryptography, there was no theory of security 11:05 The open problem that led to RSA 13:55 The night Ron Rivest discovered the core idea behind RSA 17:55 Why digital signatures were the real breakthrough 19:14 The RSA challenge — and a prediction that was off by quadrillions of years 28:33 How government pressure shaped cryptographic standards 30:36 Designing the hash functions that made digital signatures practical 33:26 The Fiat–Shamir transformation, explained 38:04 Building a cryptography company before the web existed 42:31 Will quantum computers ever become powerful enough to break RSA? 48:02 The cryptography securing the internet, elections, and everyday life 50:11 What surprised Dan: Quantum giveth and quantum taketh away

Introducing FLUX 3. One multi-modal model for Image, Video, Audio and Action-Prediction. Creations are truer to life in every kind of style. FLUX 3 Video is now available in early access (link below). Jointly trained in one unified architecture, our model can be extended to predict actions for robotics. See our work with mimic and Audi in the thread.

Whether it’s the World Cup or Taylor Swift’s wedding, tens of millions are betting on the outcomes of almost anything using prediction markets. Go inside the world of this legal but controversial form of gambling in INSTADOCS: THE PREDICTION GAMES. Premiering July 26.

My prediction: AOC will run for president, and Zohran Mamdani will replace Chuck Schumer in the Senate. Some Republicans are cheering that our opponents are crazy. I’m not. This is bad for America. I may disagree with Democrats on taxes and regulations, but this country needs two parties that actually love America.