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Four months after we launched Manus, I was invited to a dinner with President Macron. I ended up seated directly across from Jensen Huang. He was half an hour late, and Macron asked him to give a toast. Jensen picked up his wine glass and turned it into a fully improvised speech — in front of a table of European politicians and founders. It was electric. The charisma of a top founder, on full display. I typed the whole thing into my Notes that night. Still one of the sharpest takes I’ve heard on software, AI and Europe. What a pity. What a loss.

X AI ALGORITHM UPDATE (BIG ONE) 🚨 X updated their open source algorithm yesterday and the biggest number in it is gone: copy link went from 20 to 0 points. Small accounts should focus on: posts people like, reply to and stay on (so stop counting on link copies) tl;dr: - on Nov 13 X's open source code set the score for copying a post's link to 0 - copy link: 20 → 0 - it was the top score in the whole system, 4x a reply - the code also names a "copy link bait" spam check - likes (0.708), replies (5) and DM shares (5) didn't move full details: - The number that's gone Since I started reading X's open source code in August, one number sat at the top: 20, for someone tapping share and copying your post's link. Nothing else came close. As of the Nov 13 release, it's 0. X still guesses who'll copy your link. It just multiplies that guess by 0 now. X didn't explain it. It's just what the code says. (I check the open source algo daily with Claude and share updates with you) - Cross it off your list My own checklist called copy link the biggest number. Last week's post said it too. It was true then. It isn't now. If you saved that list, cross that line out. - The "copy link bait" check X's code now mentions a spam check called "copy link bait". In the code it adds a spam label to the post, and that label already keeps a post out of strangers' feeds. It only shows up in a test, so I can't see if it's running or how strict it is. My read: X saw people baiting link copies, so it turned the score off and built something to catch the bait. That's a read, the code doesn't say why. - Why that matters if you're small If your plan was posts people copy the link to, that plan now earns 0 in X's ranking. A copied link can still bring people in from outside X. It just doesn't push your post up anymore. What still pays: likes at 0.708 (the highest ever), people staying on your post, replies at 5 and back and forth with mutuals at 20. - Also new: photo and video tags If a post has a spam label, people you tag in its photo or video who don't follow you won't get notified. Same idea as last week's rule for replies. - What didn't change Every other score. Your new posts still get their extra push in the first 2 hours and first 200 views, and early likes still pick which one gets it. Here's a recap of what you should be doing: - aim for likes, replies and time spent, the copy link score is gone - a DM share still earns 5, same as a reply or a quote - likes sit at 0.708, never higher - time on your post keeps counting at its best rate yet - 10+ seconds after someone taps in adds 0.385 - write your replies yourself, under big accounts most of all - give people a reason to hang around your profile - in videos the opening seconds carry it, an open alone scores 0 - posts read to the end help X find you strangers - smaller accounts (below 50K) get a shot at a spot near 16 for a fresh original - early likes decide which new post gets that spot - post when your followers are awake, the push lasts 2 hours and 200 views - mutuals going back and forth earn 20, so follow back the regulars - only your originals ever get shown to strangers - like 1 and like 32 each unlock another way to reach strangers - one strong post per feed, your second only counts 62% - clips longer than 10 seconds for the video lists - a post likely to win you a follow gets +4 - give your pinned post a look, it can affect the whole account What you should NOT be doing: - counting on copy link shares, they score 0 now - baiting link copies, the code names a spam check for exactly that - a spam label also stops your photo tags reaching non-followers - AI-written replies under big accounts, "llm slop" is a flag X uses - copy-paste replies, labeled ones skip non-followers' notifications - chasing taps, 0.274 and dropping - drifting off your topic, each probable "not interested" takes 53.07 away - videos people open and leave, the open itself earns 0 - posting at 3am, it wastes the 2 hour push - expecting replies and reposts to reach strangers - an insult label, it hides that post from non-followers - earning a misinfo or low quality label, which adds a warning and locks strangers out of liking or sharing - 3 adult photos or videos among your latest 5 posts, that puts a label on you - forgetting videos get rechecked at 64 and 512 likes - one account label and strangers stop seeing you - pinning a link to a site X rates badly, that can mean a label for a week - posting your own old words again risks the copypasta flag - a low quality link plus tagged strangers reads as spam - bait for engagement, big or small it gets a label - several posts back to back, they split the same feed - hashtag piles, they do nothing - bookmarks for reach, they score 0 - hoping a 3 day old post still lands in For You, it stops at 2 days

End-to-End 4-Bit Training：让大模型用更粗糙的数字格式完成全流程训练，大幅缩短显卡训练时间 训练大模型需要处理海量数据，直接把数字精度压到4位虽然能加快计算，但四舍五入累积的误差会严重拖垮模型的学习效果。 为了解决这个矛盾，Thinking Machines Lab在英伟达GB300显卡平台上开发了名为BBBK的专用底层加速程序。采取了分工策略，在模型向前推理计算时使用高速度的4位数字格式NVFP4，在向后更新参数时切回较精细的8位格式MXFP8，并在传输数据时顺手进行旋转压缩与随机舍入修正，省去了传统训练完成后还要单独做低精度校准的麻烦步骤。 这套方案应用在Inkling 2 Small模型的全流程训练中，显卡的运算管道和传输带宽同时跑满，没有出现互相等待的卡顿。原本需要好几周才能跑完的同体量模型，现在在GB300机柜上只用了68小时就完成了预训练。对比全程使用8位格式训练，新方案在预训练阶段节省了8%的时间，在强化学习阶段直接提速了20%，省下了大量算力开销，同时模型最终的回答准确率几乎没有受到影响。 链接：

BREAKING: SpaceXSI completes MiniHard construction in just ~5 months, with Gun Range targeting a ~4-month build. According to SemiAnalysis, SpaceXSI is roughly halving construction timelines while most comparable projects face 8–12 month builds. • MiniHard: Construction finished in approximately 5 months. • Gun Range: The new site just south of the Tennessee–Mississippi state line is targeting approximately 4 months of construction. • Colossus 1: Its first retrofit delivered 150 MW of capacity in 122 days. • Colossus 2: A subsequent retrofit delivered 210 MW in just 91 days. • Project SPAM: Work started October 5, with the first capacity targeted for December. • Massive expansion: SemiAnalysis projects the Memphis–Mississippi campus will grow from 0.4 GW of IT capacity in January to 2.4 GW by the end of 2026. That would be a sixfold increase in one year. • Five major projects: The expansion spans Macrohard, MiniHard, Macroharder, Project SPAM and Gun Range. • Tesla powering the scale: SemiAnalysis reports 1,377 Tesla Megapacks across Colossus 2, providing nearly 6 GWh of battery storage. The construction timelines and capacity forecasts are SemiAnalysis estimates, with future milestones still targets. Elon Musk’s teams are bringing extraordinary speed and scale to the infrastructure powering AI.

Dario looks just like Cesare Borgia. He has been fabricating stories from the very beginning, trying to frighten society, manipulate public opinion, and force the U.S. government to regulate AI. His political allies will then help Anthropic use regulation as a knife to kill open-source models, so they can achieve an oligopoly. To that end, he is even willing to team up with Altman—first eliminate everyone else. The biggest threat to Dario is Jensen Huang, who supports open-source models, and Nvidia is also about to release its own open-source model. The second threat is China’s open-source models. This is why Dario uses the scare tactic that “AI will destroy humanity.” He even wants to turn AI into a religion. All religions originate from fear—they need an apocalypse to terrify the believers. Because the Republicans are vigorously developing AI, the Democrats have turned around and started demanding limits and regulation on AI, using it as a political weapon to attack Trump and the Republican Party. This is the American political-business game. Have you learned it? ---

Dario looks just like Cardinal Richelieu. He has been fabricating stories from the very beginning, trying to frighten society, manipulate public opinion, and force the U.S. government to regulate AI. His political allies will then help Anthropic use regulation as a knife to kill open-source models, so they can achieve an oligopoly. To that end, he is even willing to team up with Altman—first eliminate everyone else. The biggest threat to Dario is Jensen Huang, who supports open-source models, and Nvidia is also about to release its own open-source model. The second threat is China’s open-source models. This is why Dario uses the scare tactic that “AI will destroy humanity.” He even wants to turn AI into a religion. All religions originate from fear—they need an apocalypse to terrify the believers. Because the Republicans are vigorously developing AI, the Democrats have turned around and started demanding limits and regulation on AI, using it as a political weapon to attack Trump and the Republican Party. This is the American political-business game. Have you learned it? ---

Zambia has started connecting 751 health facilities across all 10 provinces with Starlink, and the first 90 kits went to Western Province. There's something poetic about where they started. Every year at the end of the rainy season the upper Zambezi floods the Barotse plain, and for centuries the Lozi king has left his compound at Lealui by royal barge and moved to higher ground at Limulunga. The ceremony is called Kuomboka. In Lozi it means "to get out of water." Now picture running fiber or building towers across land that turns into a lake for part of every year. A Starlink dish only needs a clear view of the sky, so the water below stops being the problem. In March 2020, months before Starlink had its first beta users, Elon Musk said it would serve the 3 or 4 percent hardest-to-reach customers, people with no connectivity or really bad connectivity. Six years later, with funding from the Global Fund through Zambia's Ministry of Health, clinics on one of Africa's great floodplains are being brought into the country's electronic health systems from orbit.

聪明的朋友可能发现了，虽然BTC最低触及了66+, 但很多山寨币并没有下跌太多，比如 $Pump一夜价格没有任何波动。 这就是我经常说的理论，山寨没有那么多货可出了，也没有做市价值。 目前山寨币指数在54，以往的下跌末期都会降到30以下。 这不是偶然，是未来的趋势，BTC的波动会大于一些山寨币，反而更适合交易者操作，山寨的流动性逐渐被吸干，一些龙头会有更好的上涨，大部分逐渐死亡，不归零但没人交易。 所以抄底时也许可以多考虑一些标的。 Sharp observers might have noticed that even though BTC dipped to the $66,000+ range, many altcoins didn’t fall all that much—for instance, the price of $PUMP remained completely flat overnight. This aligns with a theory I often discuss: there simply isn’t much supply left to dump in the altcoin market, nor is there much value in market-making for these assets. The current altcoin index sits at 54; historically, toward the end of a market decline, this figure typically drops below 30. This is no coincidence—it’s a sign of a broader trend. BTC’s volatility is now exceeding that of many altcoins, making it a better vehicle for traders. Meanwhile, liquidity in the altcoin space is gradually drying up. While a few leading tokens may still see significant gains, the vast majority are effectively dying—not necessarily hitting zero, but simply becoming illiquid with no trading activity. Therefore, when looking for "buy-the-dip" opportunities, you might want to be more selective about which assets you target.

The Bitcoin collapse is gathering steam. I expect the momentum to pick up once Bitcoin breaks $50K. In fact, once it does, it could be a quick trip to the 2022 low below $16.5K. I wouldn't be surprised to see a retest of that level before year-end. If so, it's curtains for $MSTR.