Starship is reentering Earth’s atmosphere
Good deorbit burn. Starship is on course to reenter Earth’s atmosphere ahead of a planned catch at Starbase in ~1 hour
This is not as good as it sounds, because Starlink required many satellites in low Earth orbit to achieve this bandwidth improvement globally.
That said, there will ultimately be over 100k SpaceX communications satellites, most of which will be V4 or V5. Good chance that this system carries about half of global traffic.
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Elon Musk was asked how long until there is regular travel to Mars. His answer was not about rockets.
He said the threshold that actually matters is whether Mars survives if the ships from Earth stop coming. That means every input: air, food, fuel, spare parts, medicine. He compared it to a long sea voyage where the only thing missing is vitamin C. One missing item and the colony dies on schedule.
The ships could stop for reasons that have nothing to do with Mars. A war. A decline. An asteroid. His line: civilisation on Earth can end with a bang or a whimper.
That is insurance logic, and it is the honest way to describe the Mars plan. Every policy has a premium, a probability and a payout. The payout here is the survival of the species, so the premium is nearly impossible to argue against. The probability is the part nobody can price.
Which creates a strange corporate problem. The premium gets paid by companies whose shareholders will not be the ones rescued if the policy ever pays out. SpaceX is private, so its investors signed up for that. A public company could not easily spend decades of free cash flow on a backup planet and explain it on a quarterly call.
The other catch is that redundancy is only worth what you spend testing it. A city is not self-sustaining because the plan says so. It is self-sustaining the day the ships stop and everyone lives.
So the number worth watching is not the landing date. It is the date Mars stops needing Earth. Nobody is selling a ticket to that.
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@GS_VCactivist This is the board making decisions about what used to be the most valuable company on Earth!?
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What's happening at Starbase, Texas is truly incredible.
Deep in south Texas, Musk and his team have pulled in some of the most brilliant people on Earth to make space travel as normal and boring as air travel.
The energy there is just insane. It feels like a modern day Manhattan project, but built for peace not war.
The building pictured below is the actual factory where they build Starship, like a car factory for spaceships. You probably wouldn't have guessed it, since it looks like a nice office building. Most factories are cold and industrial but Starfactory feels warm, clean, with design touches that make you feel like you're in Silicon Valley.
There's something really special happening here. I envy everyone who gets to work here and live here. Most people never get a chance to devote themselves to something so meaningful, something that potentially bends the river of human history. It kind of feels like a college town, except everyone's building spaceships instead of going to class.
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Starship and its heatshield are healthy as the vehicle continues to orbit Earth after a spectacular start to its mission nearly 7 hours ago. Teams are continuing to monitor systems ahead of a planned return to launch site catch at Starbase ~22.5 hours after launch
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Starship is now in a long coast phase around Earth. Teams will monitor Starship’s systems over the next ~21 hours that we intend to be in orbit for. We do have a few early deorbit options available should we need them, but all systems are looking good right now
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Starship performs its orbital insertion burn and enters orbit of Earth for the second time