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overheard from friends talking about AI in China, and it’s very alarming - AI short films went massive in China market because of how good the video models are now - the first wave of people who mastered using AI to generate short films and comics made quite some money because they could produce a lot more content than traditional workflows - but within just a few months, everybody and their mom could make equally good short films because all the expertise could be written in a markdown file - when everyone’s more productive, no one actually has an advantage and it’s a race to the bottom. very quickly it became impossible to make money, and everyone’s busier than they were without AI - the only one making money now is companies like bytedance who owns user demand and distribution. they sell ads to creators who pay to get traffic, and eventually ad spend became 80% of those creators’ operating expense, while AI tokens is less than 5% so what are the problems here? 1. there’s no moat if you are creating anything with AI if a human is really good at something, and it’s hard to find more humans who can do the same, they can leverage the scarcity of their skill to get paid very well but if AI is good at something, it will be infinitely replicated, so there’s no scarcity hence you can’t really expect a sustainable business by creating anything with AI 2. more creators created more content people actually liked. that’s a good thing but the economical benefit of that all got absorbed by the distribution platforms there’s a famous chinese poem 遍身罗绮者，不是养蚕人 - it basically says people who dress well aren’t the people making dresses. that’s exactly what’s happening here if our society doesn’t figure out a better way to distribute wealth, AI will help billionaires become trillionaires while average people become more exhausted than ever

2015, Colbert: “You’re a billionaire trying to do good things. Superhero or supervillain? You have to choose one.” Elon: shows him a robot snake that plugs itself into your car Colbert: “Is that thing going to attack me in my sleep?” Elon, completely deadpan: “For the prototype, at least, I would recommend not dropping anything when you’re near it.” Ten years later he’s built reusable rockets, humanoid robots and the best-selling EV on the planet, and he’s still the only CEO who can deliver a product safety warning and a punchline in the same sentence. Superhero, obviously. Just one with a very dry sense of humor. @elonmusk

The holy grail of investing is knowing how to balance. When you can take equally good things where your expectation of return is equal, but because they are uncorrelated and move differently, they balance each other. That is how you can reduce your risk without reducing your returns. You have to understand that the market is a zero-sum game. The consensus is already reflected in the price, and trying to beat it is a difficult game. In fact, it is more difficult to compete and be successful in the markets than it is to compete in the Olympics. We must be humble about that. But achieving that balance so you can get a good return without losing a lot of money is everything. Most of my own money is invested in exactly that. #Investing# #AssetAllocation# #RiskManagement# #Principles#

JUST IN: Former Binance CEO CZ says "I think for Bitcoin to hit $1,000,000 would be a good thing. And it'll happen." "I don't think we need 25 years. I think it's gonna happen much quicker." 🚀

BREAKING: Lafayette Mayor-President Monique Boulet says SpaceX’s new Starbase will be a major breakthrough for Acadiana, bringing good jobs and giving people across Louisiana the opportunity to help build the future of spaceflight. “We’re going to see a lot of good jobs. A lot of people here in Louisiana will work for SpaceX and carry this project forward. All good things to come.”

JUST IN: Fairlead Strategies founder tells CNBC Bitcoin is "not over bought yet, so that's the good thing." "We're looking for more upside from gold...maybe it won't be quite as long lived as what we expect from Bitcoin" 🚀