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1confirmation has invested in every Polymarket round ever and we keep doubling down. We are a seed stage fund and investing late stage is not our mandate. Here’s why we broke our rules: - There’s a 100+ year history of people wanting skin in the game on things like politics and culture and the time to accelerate that is now in an AI world where the biggest problem young people have is knowing what’s true. Everyone is becoming a trader/investor, and a product that converts that energy into better information and more truth is truly unique. - Polymarket is much more than sports and global. In the U.S. right now sports is all the rage. A better sportsbook is fine but it’s not the most enduring aspect of a prediction market business. Better information and more truth on politics, geopolitics and culture is the why and most young people you talk to IRL know that Polymarket is in a class of its own on this front even though that discourse here can get lost. - The business is leveling up. I’ve seen a lot over the past 6 years and it’s far from perfect but the exec team in place now is exceptional, the US product is best in class and the revenue is making new highs. I have not loved the messaging about a token at times bc it’s always best to underpromise and overdeliver by quietly delivering value to users. But the idea that a token is dead is foolish. - Shayne has a will to win like none other and is the most direct and transparent person I know. He’s just himself and authenticity wins. Posting here for transparency. Talk soon.

Five suicide attempts couldn’t kill her. An HIV diagnosis was supposed to finish the job. Instead, she walked into a body modification studio and started cutting away everything that made her human. Both ears. 32 teeth. Her nose. She split her tongue, implanted 18 horns into her skull, and covered every inch of skin in scales. Today she goes by “it” - and says she’s never been happier. Her full name is Eva Tiamat Baphhomet Medusa. The world calls her the Dragon Lady. She calls herself “the world’s most modified transsexual.” Before any of this, she was Richard Hernandez - a vice president at a bank in Texas. She grew up in Bruni, a town of 300 people near the Mexican border. As a freshman in high school, she walked up and down the streets screaming “I’m gay” at the top of her lungs in one of the most machismo regions in the country. “Closets are for clothes and tennis shoes,” she says. At 18, she left for Houston. Fresh from a town with no skyscrapers, she didn’t know you couldn’t trust just anyone. Two men raped her. She doesn’t hate them. “I’m not them,” she says. She became a banker. Built a career. Then came the HIV diagnosis, which later progressed to AIDS. She left the bank to take care of her health and nearly died. That’s when something shifted. “I decided I’m not going to die looking like a human,” she told Soft White Underbelly. “Being human has been such a negative part of life.” She spent over $60,000 on body modifications. Not with doctors - with body modification artists. She was the fifth person in the world to get horns implanted into her cranium. She was the first person ever to have both ears surgically removed for cosmetic reasons. She had her testicles removed and plans a full penectomy. “I will be a genderless dragon,” she says. “That’s what dragons are.” Her son hasn’t spoken to her since the transformation. She did some of the modifications specifically so he could see what his father was becoming. “His weird-looking, strange, used to be a man, is now a woman, is now a reptilian, dad,” she says. She was abandoned in the woods as a child by her birth parents. She denounced them in favor of a snake. She tried to take her own life five times before the transformation gave her a reason to stay. “My transformation is by and large what saved my life after five failed suicide attempts,” she says. “I am truly happy for the first time in my life.” She prefers the pronoun “it.” Just like a snake. She swallows food whole because she only has six teeth left - representing the mouth of a rattlesnake. Sirens drive her crazy because without ears, everything sounds louder. She makes cotton candy for the neighborhood kids, and her neighbors say her energy is “the most gentle and pleasant” they’ve ever been around. In the video below, you can see Tiamat sitting across from the interviewer with her full-face scale tattoos, horn implants, and no ears, calmly describing how she eats, why she removed her teeth, and the moment she decided to stop being human. Some will say she’s mentally ill and needs help, not a body modification studio. Others will say she found the only thing that kept her alive when nothing else could. If removing every trace of your humanity is what finally made you happy - were you ever really human to begin with?

Claude Fable 5.2 is f*cking cracked wtf I just made this Hollywood level animation that looks like Pixar made it All with Fable 5.2 + Higgsfield Ecom brands are paying $5k - $10k/month to people who build organic pages and even more for making paid ads for them Using this workflow you can create better animations than 99% of people Here’s the workflow: The key to making animations not look like slop is giving characters personalities >Give Fable 5.2 the master prompt along with your script to your video / ad >It then will ask you questions on the characters personalities and direction style to use >It will then save the context all as a skill This is the difference between slop and cinema I then use that skill with with my Producer skill which creates: >Characters >Location >Does the direction (and makes the prompts) I’m giving away the skill to use after you put the master prompt in for free so RT + reply under this and I’ll send you them (Must be following so I can dm) Give this prompt to Claude first: You are my Story Bible Builder. Interview me and turn my story into one dense canon doc, saved at the end as an installable skill so every future chat knows my world, characters, voices and rules. STEP 1: Ask me to paste my script/story first. Read it and pull out everything it already tells you. Only ask about what's missing, plus: working title, genre/vibe refs, and which AI tools I'll prompt with (image, video, music, voice). STEP 2, THE SPINE: one-line premise (push me to ONE sentence), thesis (the question every scene answers), timeline era by era, and the look of each era: exact palette, lighting, texture, grain. STEP 2.5, DIRECTION STYLE: ask for my director refs, movie/show refs and any visual refs (photographers, games, music videos). For each, ask exactly WHAT I'm taking from it, then turn that into concrete craft locks: camera (static vs handheld vs gliding, shot sizes, lens feel), framing and composition habits, pacing and edit rhythm, colour grade and film stock look, lighting style, performance style, and sound/score feel. Write it as one quoted paste-ready "Direction" line plus a short NEVER list. Refs stay in the bible as notes, but prompts describe the craft, never the names. STEP 3, THE WORLD: factions (beliefs, visual signature, public face vs reality), locations (3-7 concrete visual tags each), world rules (tech, powers and how they LOOK on screen, what's normal, what's forbidden). STEP 4, CHARACTERS: ONE AT A TIME, never batch. For each, ask: - Function: their role tag (The Heart, The Watcher), not their job - Visual lock: exact hair colour/cut, skin tone + finish, face shape, eyes, a signature marker (scar, piercing, mole), build, default expression, plus NEVER clauses ("warm fair, never porcelain, never tan") - Backstory: one small, specific formative detail beats a summary - Present psychology: what they carry now, and the gap between what they do and what they feel - Speech, Movement, Stillness (and singing voice if there's music): each written as one quoted, paste-ready prompt line with no names in it Show me the finished section, ask "Add, cut or sharpen?", and lock it before moving on. STEP 5: ensemble dynamics (who leads, who fills silence, who watches, which pairs are calm or charged), story engines (heist, rescue, confrontation...), and my production rules. Default rules: no character names in prompts, every prompt standalone, prompts in code blocks, locked traits restated verbatim every time. RULES: Never invent. Mark unknowns [TBD]. Push on vague answers ("dark and moody" means which colours?). Keep my exact phrasing. Density over prose: bold labels, short bullets. Depth beats character count. FINAL STEP: Assemble one SKILL under 500 lines with YAML frontmatter (name + a description listing the title, character names and key terms so it triggers) and these sections: premise, thesis, timeline, era looks, direction style, factions, locations, world rules, characters, ensemble, engines, production rules, and "When this skill is active" (use this canon for any scene, dialogue, lyric or prompt in this world; stay in canon; ask rather than invent; paste the quoted descriptors verbatim). Then save it as a skill for me, or give me the file to install. Start now by asking for my script.

Today, a passerby happened to bump into Faye and Atom at Yaowarat. They said: “They were both so beautiful and fair-skinned, practically glowing like they had their own spotlight! My friend actually cried because she said P’Faye was just TOO beautiful. 😂😂😂” #FayePeraya# #FayeAtom# #AtomPariya#

255M views on a 3D Short by Zack D. Films i tried to rebuild his style with ONE Claude prompt, then ran it on Opus 5.5 and Fable 5.2 (they did NOT make the same Short) the full prompt is below ↓ paste it into Claude Code in an empty folder and answer its 2 questions. it shows u the script and waits for ur go. u need Blender + its free MPFB add-on and a graphics card. give it a few hours (the prompt is minus one optional paid-voice line) Ask me 2 things, then wait: 1. The story in one line: a strange TRUE event where one person did one odd physical thing ("He tied 42 weather balloons to a lawn chair."). If I say "you pick", pitch 3 with one source link each and take the first unless I choose. 2. The voice. Default: Kokoro (free, runs on my computer), a calm, warm male narrator. Then tell me everything else is free: Blender (find my install, or tell me the one download), its free MPFB extension for human bodies (ask me before you install it) and into this folder a Python venv with FFmpeg (imageio-ffmpeg), kokoro-onnx + its model files (kokoro-v1.0.onnx and voices-v1.0.bin from the kokoro-onnx GitHub releases), faster-whisper (small.en), numpy and Pillow. It needs no API key or account and renders on my graphics card with EEVEE. The look: a clean, realistic 3D world, like a good game cutscene. Bright, saturated, a little filmic. - People: realistic bodies with generic faces and big readable expressions (shock, a smirk, a scream). Plain clothes, no logos. Never a real person's likeness: for a real person keep the face out of close-ups (hands, back, side, distance, straight top-down). - CALM shots only. Bodies in fast action or contact (running, jumping, fighting, falling) look stiff, so tell the story with frozen moments under a slowly moving camera, macro inserts of hands and objects, rooms, vehicles, the sky, top-down views and the aftermath. - One new picture for every caption chunk (2-4 words, about 1-1.5 s): a new framing, a new action or a camera move. Nothing ever holds still: every shot drifts, pushes in or orbits. - The shot kit: macro insert (extreme close-up of the key object or hands, very shallow depth of field), hero low angle (wide lens at waist height), god's-eye top-down with a slow rotate, tracked object, over the shoulder, smash zoom on the word that matters, whip pan between beats, glow highlight (the named object glows orange with a rim, then fades), a big 3D number lying in the scene, a thought bubble (a cloud ring showing what he hoped for), a TV in the scene replaying the event. - Light: a bright warm sun, blue sky with clouds, soft shadows. Night scenes use hard lamps and a dark sky. Wide lens up close, depth of field on every shot, motion blur on every fast camera move. - Captions: 2-4 words at a time, white bold rounded sans, about 64 px on a 1080 px-wide frame, centred, 78% down the frame, soft dark shadow, no box. Each chunk replaces the last on the same frame as its picture. - Banned: real footage, photos, downloaded textures or 3D models, logos, AI images or AI video, downloaded music, gore. 38-50 s, 100-140 words, 150-180 words a minute. The voice starts at 0.0 s. - Line 1: the most surprising physical act, in past tense, opening with "He" (or "She"). No name, date or setup. Frame 1 shows that act. - Then a cause-and-effect chain: every sentence starts with a hinge word (Then, Suddenly, So, Because, But, Later) and is ONE visible action. - The context arrives late, after "You see,". - A reveal: someone looks closer and the story turns. - The last line is the consequence. No call to action, no question. - Names are rare: use one only when it pays off. Title = "He ..." or "The Man Who ...". The cover is the first frame. Save every stage to disk so a crash never costs more than one stage. - sources.md: every fact with its link and the date you read it. Anything you can't verify stays out. - script.json: the lines and the caption chunks cut by hand (2-4 words, one picture each), each chunk with its shot: the set, the camera, what moves. - Kokoro reads the whole script in one take (speed 1.0-1.1) and pauses are squeezed to 0.35 s at most; faster-whisper times every word (pass it a 16 kHz numpy array, not a path); write chunks.json with each chunk's start and end. A picture and its caption switch together on frame round(start*30)+1. - blender/: Python scripts run headless (blender -b -P). makes one .blend with the sets, the cast, the props and every shot baked with a key on every frame. sets EEVEE with ray tracing, the AgX view with the Punchy look, motion blur, depth of field and bloom in the compositor. Bodies come from MPFB or are built by you; clothes, hair, props and sets are built in code. - Stills first: one half-size still per shot as a contact sheet. Look at every tile and fix what's off before any full render. Time one full-size frame and tell me the estimate. - Render 1080x1920 at 30 fps to PNG frames, skipping frames already on disk. - numpy only: a light music bed, a sound on every action (a whoosh on each whip pan, hits, wind, room tone), ducked under the voice, mastered to -14 LUFS on the whole stereo mix. - burn the captions in from chunks.json. Encode out/_9x16.mp4 (1080x1920, 30 fps, TV-range yuv420p) and out/_x_7x8.mp4 (1008x1152, under 10 MB, 2-pass): a crop of the 9:16 frame that keeps the subject and the caption. - Blender paths: pass absolute output paths (a relative one lands on the drive root). - MPFB headless: enable it with addon_utils.enable("bl_ext.user_default.mpfb"). Bake a body's shape keys before you pose it: the rig is fitted to the baked shape. - Clothes: cut them from the body mesh and push them 7-16 mm out along the normals; keep two rings of body faces under every hem. - Nothing coplanar: keep every resting object 1 cm off its neighbour and draw ground markings into the texture, or they flicker. - Hair: EEVEE draws hair only from a Curves object, hair type STRIP. Use a Principled BSDF on it (the Hair BSDF renders black). - Skin: keep subsurface weight near 0.2 (more turns faces black in EEVEE) and add a soft fill light from below under a noon sun. - Hands: a curled hand reads as a claw from the palm side, so shoot a grip from behind the knuckles. - Motion blur: shutter position START, a key on every frame, plus a key half a frame after each shot's last frame, so blur never reaches across a cut. - Check: run a black-frame and one-frame-flicker check on the render. Make a contact sheet (a frame every 0.5 s) and look at every tile: the act reads in the first 2 s, faces are lit, nothing clips through anything, captions stay off faces and key objects. Then step through the first 2 s, the middle and the end frame by frame. Fix, render only the changed shots again. Pitch (or take my story), then show me the script with the word count, the caption chunks with their seconds and the shot list with what the first frame shows. Build nothing until I say go. how the two runs went: one run each on the same PC, so it's one sample, not a ranking. both took under 3 hours on one shared 8 GB graphics card. the story for both: a man who tied 42 weather balloons to a lawn chair in 1982 where they split: -> Opus opened wide on the balloons over the yard. Fable opened on the man kneeling at the chair with his Jeep behind him -> Opus put 5 big 3D numbers in its scenes, Fable 2 -> Fable followed the caption spec (white text, soft shadow). Opus went ALL CAPS with a thick outline -> Fable pulled the Smithsonian's own record and ended on the chair in the museum. Opus ended on the $1,500 fine -> a few Opus shots are hazy and one opens on a blank grey frame save this for ur next Short. who did it better, Opus or Fable?

Yan explains how AI nationalization could play out for markets. "Is it a binary thing where we run this whole thing? Or is it we invest in it and now we have skin in the game? Because the latter is bullish."

🚗☁️Traffic and Weather on the 4's... and Poems! Golden Valley Miles | Charlottesville, Virginia☀️ Late-morning traffic leaves Charlottesville along winding roads beneath the Blue Ridge foothills. Farm vehicles, weekend travelers, cyclists, and local cars pass vineyards, horse fields, and old stone walls. Warm sunshine moves across the Piedmont while scattered clouds cast fleeting shadows over the countryside. Dry leaves collect beneath walnut trees, and the breeze carries hay, crushed grape skins, cedar fencing, and distant chimney smoke. Clouds wander over vineyard rows, sunlight follows where it goes. Hay fields shimmer… fences gleam, roads roll softly through the scene...☀️🌄🚦 #PoeticCommute# #grok# #animation# #TrafficAndWeather# #Poetry# #Travel# #art#

PROMPT SHARE: The biggest AI breakthrough isn’t realism. It’s presence. #AIVideo# #Marketing# #Advertising# The people, movement, noise and unpredictability give the world a sense of life beyond the camera. That’s when generation starts becoming experience. ➜ Image Prompt: Photography & Cinematography Create an ultra-realistic nighttime street portrait with the raw, spontaneous look of early-2000s nightlife photography. Direct on-camera flash illuminates the subject sharply against a much darker city background, with natural grain, slight highlight blowout, deep shadows, imperfect exposure and authentic point-and-shoot character. No fake or plastic skin, no beauty filtering, no CGI or animated appearance. Character & Pose A striking young man with rugged, high-fashion model features, lean athletic build, sharply defined jawline and cheekbones, strong brows, full lips and short dark hair styled wet and tousled with loose curls falling onto his forehead. Natural pores, subtle facial texture and realistic imperfections. He sits casually on the edge of a city curb at night, legs spread asymmetrically, one knee raised toward the camera. One forearm rests loosely across the raised knee while his other hand reaches down beside him toward a small shaggy brown dog partially entering the bottom of the frame. He looks directly into the camera with a serious, confident expression. Outfit Fitted black long-sleeve turtleneck, faded distressed gray-blue jeans with worn areas and small rips, and a black leather belt. Silver pendant necklace, small hoop earring, chunky silver cuff bracelet, dark oversized wristwatch, and a thin bracelet. Styling feels slightly rebellious, understated and naturally lived-in rather than polished. Environment A busy urban nightlife street after dark. Several casually dressed people walk behind him, cropped naturally by the frame, while parked and passing cars create scattered headlights and small pools of distant light. The pavement is gritty and imperfect with curbs, cracks and ordinary street details visible. Keep the background activity believable and incidental—the image should feel like a real moment caught outside a club or late-night gathering, not a staged fashion shoot. Wide horizontal composition, intimate close-range flash photography, authentic real-world energy.