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Yes, the green flame is caused by burning copper from depleting fuel in the regenerative cooling circuit and going oxygen-rich (closer to stoichiometric temperature) in the main combustion chamber. Slight underperformance of engines on this flight is the reason. The booster is meant to land with tiny residuals, so the solution is to improve engine performance and performance consistency (underway with Raptor V3.2), as well as adjust flight software to do MECO1 about one second earlier to ensure enough propellant for boostback and landing (tiny change). These early ships and boosters are already outdated by improved designs in production or on the test stand, so this booster loss does not change our timeline to reach high volume, fully reusable Starship flights.

Elon Musk was asked how long until there is regular travel to Mars. His answer was not about rockets. He said the threshold that actually matters is whether Mars survives if the ships from Earth stop coming. That means every input: air, food, fuel, spare parts, medicine. He compared it to a long sea voyage where the only thing missing is vitamin C. One missing item and the colony dies on schedule. The ships could stop for reasons that have nothing to do with Mars. A war. A decline. An asteroid. His line: civilisation on Earth can end with a bang or a whimper. That is insurance logic, and it is the honest way to describe the Mars plan. Every policy has a premium, a probability and a payout. The payout here is the survival of the species, so the premium is nearly impossible to argue against. The probability is the part nobody can price. Which creates a strange corporate problem. The premium gets paid by companies whose shareholders will not be the ones rescued if the policy ever pays out. SpaceX is private, so its investors signed up for that. A public company could not easily spend decades of free cash flow on a backup planet and explain it on a quarterly call. The other catch is that redundancy is only worth what you spend testing it. A city is not self-sustaining because the plan says so. It is self-sustaining the day the ships stop and everyone lives. So the number worth watching is not the landing date. It is the date Mars stops needing Earth. Nobody is selling a ticket to that.

WEMBY DIRECTING TRAFFIC 👀 Slow down the offense. Call out a set. Fire the jump pass to Harper for 2. The @spurs extended their winning streak to 11 games and improved to 2-0 in West Group C!

X AI ALGORITHM UPDATE (BIG ONE) 🚨 X updated their open source algorithm yesterday and the biggest number in it is gone: copy link went from 20 to 0 points. Small accounts should focus on: posts people like, reply to and stay on (so stop counting on link copies) tl;dr: - on Nov 13 X's open source code set the score for copying a post's link to 0 - copy link: 20 → 0 - it was the top score in the whole system, 4x a reply - the code also names a "copy link bait" spam check - likes (0.708), replies (5) and DM shares (5) didn't move full details: - The number that's gone Since I started reading X's open source code in August, one number sat at the top: 20, for someone tapping share and copying your post's link. Nothing else came close. As of the Nov 13 release, it's 0. X still guesses who'll copy your link. It just multiplies that guess by 0 now. X didn't explain it. It's just what the code says. (I check the open source algo daily with Claude and share updates with you) - Cross it off your list My own checklist called copy link the biggest number. Last week's post said it too. It was true then. It isn't now. If you saved that list, cross that line out. - The "copy link bait" check X's code now mentions a spam check called "copy link bait". In the code it adds a spam label to the post, and that label already keeps a post out of strangers' feeds. It only shows up in a test, so I can't see if it's running or how strict it is. My read: X saw people baiting link copies, so it turned the score off and built something to catch the bait. That's a read, the code doesn't say why. - Why that matters if you're small If your plan was posts people copy the link to, that plan now earns 0 in X's ranking. A copied link can still bring people in from outside X. It just doesn't push your post up anymore. What still pays: likes at 0.708 (the highest ever), people staying on your post, replies at 5 and back and forth with mutuals at 20. - Also new: photo and video tags If a post has a spam label, people you tag in its photo or video who don't follow you won't get notified. Same idea as last week's rule for replies. - What didn't change Every other score. Your new posts still get their extra push in the first 2 hours and first 200 views, and early likes still pick which one gets it. Here's a recap of what you should be doing: - aim for likes, replies and time spent, the copy link score is gone - a DM share still earns 5, same as a reply or a quote - likes sit at 0.708, never higher - time on your post keeps counting at its best rate yet - 10+ seconds after someone taps in adds 0.385 - write your replies yourself, under big accounts most of all - give people a reason to hang around your profile - in videos the opening seconds carry it, an open alone scores 0 - posts read to the end help X find you strangers - smaller accounts (below 50K) get a shot at a spot near 16 for a fresh original - early likes decide which new post gets that spot - post when your followers are awake, the push lasts 2 hours and 200 views - mutuals going back and forth earn 20, so follow back the regulars - only your originals ever get shown to strangers - like 1 and like 32 each unlock another way to reach strangers - one strong post per feed, your second only counts 62% - clips longer than 10 seconds for the video lists - a post likely to win you a follow gets +4 - give your pinned post a look, it can affect the whole account What you should NOT be doing: - counting on copy link shares, they score 0 now - baiting link copies, the code names a spam check for exactly that - a spam label also stops your photo tags reaching non-followers - AI-written replies under big accounts, "llm slop" is a flag X uses - copy-paste replies, labeled ones skip non-followers' notifications - chasing taps, 0.274 and dropping - drifting off your topic, each probable "not interested" takes 53.07 away - videos people open and leave, the open itself earns 0 - posting at 3am, it wastes the 2 hour push - expecting replies and reposts to reach strangers - an insult label, it hides that post from non-followers - earning a misinfo or low quality label, which adds a warning and locks strangers out of liking or sharing - 3 adult photos or videos among your latest 5 posts, that puts a label on you - forgetting videos get rechecked at 64 and 512 likes - one account label and strangers stop seeing you - pinning a link to a site X rates badly, that can mean a label for a week - posting your own old words again risks the copypasta flag - a low quality link plus tagged strangers reads as spam - bait for engagement, big or small it gets a label - several posts back to back, they split the same feed - hashtag piles, they do nothing - bookmarks for reach, they score 0 - hoping a 3 day old post still lands in For You, it stops at 2 days

🚨 THIS IS WHY BITCOIN KEEPS CRASHING BELOW $67,000 If you still think Bitcoin trades like an asset whose price is determined purely by spot supply and demand, you need to read this carefully. Because that market no longer exists. What you’re watching right now is NOT normal price action. This isn’t just an AI stock sell-off. This isn’t just hotter inflation. And this definitely isn’t retail suddenly deciding to dump Bitcoin at the exact same time. Most people have no idea what is actually happening. And by the time it becomes obvious, the damage is usually already done. This didn’t start today. It has been building underneath Bitcoin for YEARS. And now it’s accelerating. Here’s the truth: Bitcoin still has a hard cap of 21 MILLION coins. But Wall Street can create almost unlimited financial EXPOSURE around those coins. That distinction changes everything. Because once derivatives dominate short-term price discovery... Bitcoin stops trading purely on who wants to own the actual coins. It starts trading on: 1) LEVERAGE. 2) HEDGING. 3) MARGIN. 4) LIQUIDATIONS. 5) FORCED SELLING. And that is exactly what is happening right now. It’s the same mechanism that repeatedly drives violent moves in: → Gold → Silver → Oil → Stocks Once derivatives become large enough, spot buyers are no longer the only force setting the price. And this is the part almost nobody understands: Bitcoin’s scarcity didn’t disappear. But scarcity alone no longer controls the SCREEN PRICE. Wall Street built an entire financial layer on top of Bitcoin: → Cash-settled futures → Perpetual contracts → Options → ETFs → Broker lending → Swaps → Wrapped BTC The 21 million cap controls the COINS. It does NOT cap the amount of leveraged exposure that can be created around them. And once that leverage starts unwinding... The market doesn’t care what the long-term thesis is. It SELLS. Look at what just happened: Over $1.9 BILLION in leveraged crypto positions wiped out in 24 hours. More than $1.1 BILLION liquidated in Bitcoin alone. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have already seen roughly $1.9 BILLION in outflows this month. Once leveraged selling overwhelms real buyers, price stops responding only to long-term demand. It starts responding to positions. Hedging. Margin calls. And cascading liquidations. Wall Street does not need to own millions of physical Bitcoin to push the market around. It only needs enough derivatives exposure and enough leverage sitting in the wrong place. The playbook is brutally simple: 1st: Build enormous leveraged exposur 2nd: Push price through obvious liquidity 3rd: Trigger stops and liquidations 4th: Forced selling pushes price even lower 5th: Buy back into the panic 6th: Repeat THIS is why Bitcoin can lose thousands of dollars while the number of coins on-chain barely changes. The coins didn’t suddenly disappear. The PRICE DISCOVERY mechanism changed. That’s what people are missing. Bitcoin is still scarce. But the financial claims built around Bitcoin are NOT. And when leverage controls the marginal trade... 21 million coins can behave like a market with FAR more supply than 21 million coins. That’s not the Bitcoin market retail thinks it is trading. That’s a WALL STREET PRICING SYSTEM built on top of Bitcoin. You can choose to ignore it. But don’t pretend nobody warned you. Bitcoin is now trading around $66,600, its lowest level since August and roughly 48% below the $126,200 high. If $65k breaks, the next level I’m watching is $62k. Reminder: I called the Bitcoin top at $126,000 and told you to start buying again around $60,000. The next call will matter even more. When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Ethena's Aave bill went from $47K to $63K a day on the same loan the loan didn't grow since nov 9 other borrowers took more $USDC, and @aave's main $USDC pool is now over 94% lent out past that line Aave raises the rate fast to keep some cash in the pool for withdrawals without Ethena's loan the rate would drop to 4%, so every other borrower now pays about $130K a day more most of that money goes to $USDC lenders, and 45% of what they earn there today depends on @ethena's loan staying in the pool