Alex Mason 👁△ (@AlexMasonCrypto)

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING SpaceX will go public tomorrow at a $1.75T valuation. The biggest IPO in market history. And Wall Street just changed the rules right before it happens. I've been trading for more than 15 years and have never seen them rewrite the rules so urgently: IPO access now lowered from $500,000 to $2,000 (-99.6% cut). That means millions of investors can suddenly enter a deal and buy shares tomorrow. One day before the most expensive IPO in history. And suddenly... SpaceX reserved up to 30% of the deal for regular investors. Three times the normal share. Why? Because retail investors need to buy what insiders sell. And here is the part most people are missing: SpaceX does not just create demand for SpaceX. It pulls liquidity out of everything else: - Retail sells stocks to chase the IPO. - Funds sell stocks to prepare for forced buying. - Brokers open access to generate demand. - Everyone needs cash at the same time. That is why the market is selling now. First, insiders create the hype. Then brokers open the gates. Then regular investors rush in. And by the time the crowd realizes what happened, the exit door is already closed. We’ve seen this before. 2000: Dotcom IPOs became the symbol of the bubble. Then Nasdaq collapsed 80%. 2021: SPACs, Coinbase, Robinhood, Rivian. Retail thought they were buying the future. They were buying the exit. Now the same playbook is back. Only this time, it is much bigger. When Wall Street cuts the entry ticket from $500K to $2K right before a $1.75T IPO, they are not giving retail a gift. They are creating buyers. Remember: Insiders need liquidity. Funds need allocation. The market needs a dream. And Wall Street needs someone to hold the bag. That is what tomorrow is really about. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

I warned you about this dump. Bitcoin now follows the path to the market cycle bottom. All according to the plan. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 I WARNED YOU. RIGHT BEFORE THIS DUMP. But most people ignored it. And now the crash is here. Bitcoin dropped to $70K. Over $500M in longs wiped out in hours. Many hope this is just a temporary correction. But the macro tells a different story: PPI just jumped to 6%. The fastest pace since COVID. That killed any hope of rate cuts. And to make things worse, Fed Chair Warsh is hawkish: Higher-for-longer rates and balance sheet shrinkage. 10Y yields above 4.6%. Capital is flowing out of risk assets. Spot ETF outflows are at historic highs. The crowd is praying for a quick bounce. They will be deeply disappointed. This is just the beginning of the real move down. Most people will realize it only when it's too late. For the record: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Bitcoin is preparing for the final dump before $200K. The bear market is 65% done. Now BTC is following the path I warned about: $73K → $68K → $62K → $55K → $200K Next stops: → $60K dump → Bear market bottom in October Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

This is exactly what I told you would happen. S&P 500 just hit $7,538, a new all-time high. Amid the worst geopolitical crisis of the century. Oil is at $94. The Strait of Hormuz is blockaded. The US has already begun the next round of war escalation. Nothing has been solved. No real objectives have been achieved. The escalation is only getting worse. And the market is rallying into it. I’ve seen this before. When equities rally during an unresolved energy shock, the drop that follows isn’t slow. It’s vertical. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 READ THIS TWICE Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. Everyone is focused on price. Nobody is talking about timing. Days from cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t entered the historical timing window yet. The highest-probability zone for the real bottom: July–November 2026. That single fact matters more than any level on your chart. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at $40K.” But the zone that feels safe is exactly where people do nothing. My rules are simple: Below $60,000, I’m a buyer. July–November 2026, I’m a buyer. Either condition. No hesitation. Yes, I already started accumulating when we entered the $60K range 3 months ago. The timing window isn’t here yet. I don’t care. The price was right. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60K. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric. “BTC will never see $100K again.” Now we’re here. One more thing almost nobody is watching: NUPL. Every generational bottom happened when NUPL entered the blue zone: 2018, 2022. When we get there, you’ll know. I’ll make sure of it. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Everyone thinks Bitcoin is breaking out. The chart says something completely different. Bitcoin is now forming a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. Most traders see accumulation and think the danger is over. That’s exactly how they get trapped. Bitcoin has already completed the first major reaction after the local high near $82.5K. That is the Relief Rally phase. And historically, this stage is followed by downside. But the setup is not that simple: - Drop toward $60K (finished) - Secondary Test formation (completed) - Bounce back above $75K (done) - Re-sweep of the lows (next) - Cycle bottom formation (coming) That’s how accumulation works. It doesn’t reward people who chase every bounce. It rewards people who understand the structure. Most traders only think in one direction: “BTC is pumping. Bottom is in.” Wrong. Real accumulation is messy. It shakes out early buyers. It traps breakout traders. It forces people to sell the bottom twice. That’s why my main focus is still the same: A potential <$50K bottom. Not because Bitcoin is dead. Because this is where the real accumulation phase can finish. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin is entering the most dangerous part of the cycle. The phase that happens every time in mid-term years: “Sell in May and go away.” 2014: May drop → -61% 2018: May drop → -65% 2022: May drop → -66% 2026: Mid-term year. Most traders think the bottom is in during this phase. It isn’t. 2014: May top → drop 2018: May top → brutal drop 2022: May top → bloody drop Based on the same mid-term structure: -60.73% points to ~$47K. That’s when bottoms form.… Narratives break… Everyone turns bearish… We’re not there yet. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 S&P 500 IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF Everyone is watching the price. Almost nobody is watching the volume. Price is going up. Volume is not. That’s not organic demand. That’s price being pushed on low liquidity. We’ve seen this exact setup before: Early 2025: Low-volume rally → price goes up → sell-off Look at what’s happening right now: – Price grinding higher – Volume staying weak – No real buyers Now add the macro: A global oil crisis. 1990 (Gulf War): Oil spike → S&P -20% 2008: Oil → $147 → S&P -57% 2022: Oil +70% → S&P -28% When volume returns, it won’t be buyers. It will be sellers. Remember, I’ve predicted all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the exact Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.