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#何時何分地球が何回まわったら# プロジェクト第一弾楽曲⌛ 40ｍP feat.鈴木愛理「空は二度燃える」MV #何時何分# #40ｍP# #鈴木愛理#

放送まであと1時間です⌛ 📺2021/3/21 18:00 「空は二度燃える」MV公開前特別配信番組 ▼出演者 #40ｍP　##鈴木愛理# ▼MC 吉田尚記（ニッポン放送） #何時何分#

Reuters NEXT Newsmaker with Sixth Street Vice Chairman and Partner R. Martin Chavez to discuss what the convergence of technology and finance means for the future of global markets, on Tuesday, June 30 at 11:40 a.m. GMT / 12:40 p.m. BST. Register here:

Join us for a Reuters NEXT Newsmaker featuring Sixth Street Vice Chairman and Partner R. Martin Chavez on Tuesday, June 30 at 11:40 a.m. GMT / 12:40 p.m. BST. Register here 👉

Join us for a Reuters NEXT Newsmaker with GECF Secretary General Philip Mshelbila in conversation with Reuters U.S. Energy Correspondent Scott DiSavino, Wednesday, June 24 at 2:40 p.m. EDT / 6:40 p.m. GMT. Register here 👉

Reuters NEXT Newsmaker with GECF Secretary General Philip Mshelbila to discuss whether the conflict in the Middle East is a temporary shock or a structural reset, on Wednesday, June 24 at 2:40 p.m. EDT / 6:40 p.m. GMT. Register here:

Join us for a Reuters NEXT Newsmaker featuring GECF Secretary General Philip Mshelbila on Wednesday, June 24 at 2:40 p.m. EDT / 6:40 p.m. GMT. Register here 👉

Pray for the people of Venezuela… looks like they’ve been hit by a bomb. 🚨 SITREP: Venezuela Earthquakes — USGS PAGER modeling estimates Fatalities reach 100,000 Souls 🔻What & When: Last night, 6:04 p.m. ET / corresponding Venezuelan time), two powerful earthquakes struck western/northern Venezuela in quick succession. 1. 7.2 magnitude foreshock near San Felipe, Yaracuy state. 2. 40 seconds later, a 7.5 magnitude mainshock about 23 km (14 miles) southeast of Yumare, also in Yaracuy state (roughly 160 km / 100 miles west of Caracas). These were the strongest quakes to hit Venezuela in over a century. The shaking was widely felt across much of the country (especially Caracas and coastal areas like La Guaira) and into neighboring Colombia. Depths were very shallow, amplifying the impact. A tsunami warning was issued but quickly canceled. 🔻 Casualties: - Confirmed deaths: At least 164. Injuries: nearly 1,000 - Many people remain trapped under rubble; and the toll is expected to rise exponentially over the coming days/weeks. The “up to 100,000 deaths” reports comes from USGS PAGER modeling (probabilistic estimates of potential fatalities based on shaking intensity, population exposure, and building vulnerability). USGS issued a red alert for high casualties and extensive damage. Most likely outcome: - Thousands of fatalities. Substantial probability of exceeding 10,000. Upper-end scenarios in the model reach up to 100,000 (with references to ~30% probability in some coverage for the highest band). 🔻 Damage and Impact: Several Dozen buildings collapsed or were heavily damaged, particularly in Caracas and La Guaira state (declared a disaster zone). — Pancaked or partially collapsed multi-story buildings. — Damage to Simón Bolívar Airport (Maiquetía) near Caracas, which was temporarily closed. — Widespread power and telecommunications outages (internet connectivity dropped sharply initially). — Rubble-strewn streets and scenes of panic as people evacuated buildings. — La Guaira and parts of Caracas were among the hardest-hit areas. But suspiciously… Venezuela’s oil infrastructure appeared largely unaffected in initial reports. 🔻Government and Response Actions: • Acting President Delcy Rodríguez declared a state of emergency, established a high-level task force for search-and-rescue, and announced a $200 million fund for reconstruction. —— $200M is not nearly enough. She addressed the nation, expressing condolences and calling the event a “true tragedy.” Security forces deployed nationwide; schools suspended for up to a week, at least for now; non-essential activities and some rail services canceled. Hospitals braced for casualties by doubling shifts. Rescue teams are actively searching rubble with power tools and heavy equipment; civilians have been asked to help with food, water, and debris removal. 🔻International Assistance: • United States: Search-and-rescue teams (Fairfax County and Los Angeles), overhead imagery, and promises of “big, fast” support. France: 85 search-and-rescue specialists. Switzerland: 80 rescuers + 8 dogs + equipment. Spain, Netherlands, Czech Republic, and others sending teams, dogs, and gear. Solidarity messages from Russia, Ukraine, and others.

# $BC **报告日期**：2026年5月16日 **代币名称**：BC Coin ($BC) **当前价格**：$0.00858 (+6.24% 24h) CA:BCNT4t3rv5Hva8RnUtJUJLnxzeFAabcYp8CghC1SmWin **市值**：$85.8M **区块链**：Solana + TON - **规模**：日活跃用户 12.9 万，日投注额 $9,089 万，日投注次数 733.5 万笔 - **产品矩阵**：1,000+ 老虎机、真人荷官桌、Crash 游戏、原创游戏、体育博彩 - **技术**：基于可验证公平（Provably Fair）系统和审计 RNG，支持即时存取款 - **合规**：持有多国游戏牌照，遵循负责任博彩原则 分发方式 | 零成本空投（无 ICO） ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │  流动性挖矿    50%   │████████████│  50 亿枚  │ │  社区空投      20%   │█████       │  20 亿枚  │ │  LDP (流动性池) 10%  │███         │  10 亿枚  │ │  顾问          10%   │███         │  10 亿枚  │ │  营销          10%   │███         │  10 亿枚  │ └─────────────────────────────────────────────┘ ``` **链上实际状态（2026年5月实时）**： | 类别 | 数量 | 占比 | 状态 | |------|------|------|------| | 流通供应 | 3,542,200,432 BC | 35.42% | 可自由交易 | | └─ BC Engine 质押 | ~1,293,000,000 BC | 12.93% | 质押锁定 | | └─ 真正自由流通 | ~2,249,200,432 BC | 22.49% | 实际可买卖 | | 锁定供应 | 6,200,000,000 BC | 62.00% | 待释放 | | 已销毁 | 257,799,568 BC | 2.57% | 永久移除 | | **总计** | **10,000,000,000 BC** | **100%** | | ### 3.3 解锁时间表与稀释压力 **已释放的 35.42% 流通量来源**： - 三次大规模流动性挖矿解锁事件（2024-2025年） - 部分 LDP 注入 DEX - 早期空投分发 **待解锁的 62% 锁定供应构成**： | 来源 | 估算数量 | 解锁机制 | 预计时间线 | |------|---------|---------|-----------| | 流动性挖矿剩余 | ~2.0B BC | 分批解锁 | 2025-2027 | | LDP 储备 | 1.0B BC | DEX 流动性注入 | 按需释放 | | 营销储备 | 1.0B BC | 营销活动触发 | 持续释放 | | 顾问分配 | 1.0B BC | **24个月线性解锁** | 2024-2026 | | 分发钱包滞留 | ~0.2B+ BC | 未完全分发 | 不定期 | **稀释压力测算**： ``` 当前流通量: 35.42 亿 BC 待解锁量:   55 亿+ BC（保守估计） 稀释倍数:   155% 的当前流通量 完全稀释市值（FDV）: $85.8M × (100/35.42) = $242.2M FDV/流通市值比率: 2.82x 回购与销毁机制 **机制设计**： - **频率**：每周执行 - **资金来源**：平台收入/储备金 - **操作方式**：从公开市场回购 + 智能合约销毁 - **额外销毁源**：早期解押惩罚（EARLY UNSTAKE BURN） **销毁实绩**： - 累计销毁：257,799,568 BC（占总供应 2.57%） - 占流通量比例：7.28% - 2025 年披露销毁量：2.5 亿 BC **通缩 vs 稀释的赛跑**： | 指标 | 数值 | |------|------| | 年销毁速率（估算） | 1-2 亿 BC | | 待解锁总量 | 55 亿+ BC | | 完全对冲所需时间 | **27-55 年** | | 销毁/解锁比率 | **1:27 至 1:55** | 收益测算（基于轮次历史数据） **数据来源**：BC Engine #891-##910# 共 20 轮实际支付数据 | 统计项 | 数值 | |--------|------| | 单轮平均支付池 | 2,700 BCD | | 最低支付池（#891）# | 1,793.89 BCD | | 最高支付池（#896）# | 4,450.36 BCD | | 支付池波动范围 | -33.6% 至 +64.8% | **不同质押规模下的收益模拟**： | 你的质押量 | 占总质押份额 | 单轮收益 | 日收益 | 年化收益 | APY | |-----------|------------|---------|--------|---------|-----| | 129,260 BC (~$1,108) | 0.01196% | 0.323 BCD | $7.75 | $2,829 | **255%** | 早期解押惩罚（通缩加速器） BC Engine 设有 EARLY UNSTAKE BURN 机制： - 提前解押需牺牲部分 $BC - 被惩罚的 $BC 直接进入销毁池 - 这既保护长期质押者利益，又加速通缩 --- ## 平台运营健康度评估 ### 5.1 24 小时核心运营数据 | 指标 | 数值 | 行业对比 | |------|------|---------| | 总投注额 | $90,894,620 | 头部水平 | | 在线用户数 | 129,321 | 非常健康 | | 投注次数 | 7,335,370 | 高频活跃 | | 赢金额 | $89,407,578 | 赔付率 98.4% | | 平台毛利（估算） | ~$1.49M/天 | 强劲 | | House Edge（估算） | ~1.6% | 可持续 | ### 5.2 用户与流动性指标 | 指标 | 数值 | 解读 | |------|------|------| | 持有者数量 | 486,678 | 分布极广，去中心化程度高 | | 24h 交易量 | $747.2K | 流动性偏薄 | | 换手率 | 0.87% | 低换手 = 持有者惜售 | | 质押率 | 36.5% 流通量 | 高质押锁定减少抛压 | 估值分析 ### 6.1 相对估值法 **对标传统赌场股**： | 公司 | 市值 | 年收入 | 市销率 (P/S) | |------|------|--------|-------------| | Evolution Gaming | ~$25B | ~$2B | 12.5x | | Flutter Entertainment | ~$35B | ~$12B | 2.9x | | DraftKings | ~$15B | ~$4B | 3.75x | | ** ($BC)** | **$85.8M** | **~$400M（估算）** | **0.21x** | 即使保守估计 年收入 $300M，$BC 的市销率也仅 **0.29x**，是传统赌场股的 **1/10 到 1/40**。 **对标加密赌场竞品**： | 代币 | 市值 | FDV | FDV/收入 | |------|------|-----|---------| | Rollbit (RLB) | ~$300M | ~$600M | ~10x | | **BC ($BC)** | **$85.8M** | **$242M** | **0.6x** | $BC 的 FDV/收入比率仅为竞品的 **1/16**。 ### 6.2 绝对估值法（收入折现） 假设条件： - 当前年化 in-house 利润：$219M - 增长率：15%（前3年）→ 5%（永续） - 折现率：20%（加密风险溢价） - 代币稀释：未来3年解锁 30 亿 BC **DCF 估值**： ``` ┌──────────────────────────────────────────┐ │  3年预测利润（考虑稀释）                    │ │  Year 1: $219M × 1.15 × 0.85 = $214M    │ │  Year 2: $214M × 1.15 × 0.90 = $222M    │ │  Year 3: $222M × 1.15 × 0.93 = $237M    │ │                                          │ │  终值: $237M × 1.05 / (0.20-0.05) = $1.66B │ │                                          │ │  企业价值: ~$1.2-1.5B（宽区间）            │ │  每 BC 价值: $0.12-0.15（流通调整前）       │ └──────────────────────────────────────────┘ ``` **估值结论**：即使考虑稀释，$BC 的合理价值区间可能在 **$0.05-0.15**，当前 $0.00858 存在显著的低估可能。但这一估值高度依赖平台利润可持续性和稀释管理。 最终结论 **$BC 是一个高风险、高回报的「收益型基础设施代币」**，其投资价值建立在三个支柱上： 1. **超高质押收益（200-380% APY）**：BC Engine 以 BCD 稳定币支付的收益机制设计精巧，在当前低利率环境下极具吸引力 2. **极低的估值基数（0.2x 市销率）**：相对平台收入和行业对标，存在 5-20 倍的重估空间 3. **真实的平台收入支撑**：日投注 $9,100 万、年化利润 $2 亿+，基本面扎实 **但致命风险同样不可忽视**： - **55 亿+ BC 待解锁** = 当前流通量的 155% - **销毁速率仅为解锁速率的 1/27 至 1/55** - **62% 的供应仍掌握在团队/协议手中** @bcgame