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经典,AI vs AI 真实攻防战👍 这次事件与我们以往处理过的任何事件有一个重要区别:它是由一个自主 AI Agent 系统从头到尾驱动的,而我们也主要依靠自己的 AI 来检测和剖析它。 … 这次行动由一个自主代理框架执行(看起来是基于一个代理式安全研究框架构建的,具体使用的是哪个 LLM 尚不清楚),它在大量短生命周期沙箱组成的集群中执行了数千个独立操作,命令与控制(C2)服务器自迁移部署在公共服务上。这与行业一直在预测的“代理式攻击者”(agentic attacker)场景完全吻合。 … 不对称性问题(The asymmetry problem) 当我们开始日志分析时,首先尝试使用商业 API 背后的前沿模型。但这行不通:分析需要提交大量真实的攻击命令、利用负载和 C2 产物,而这些请求被提供商的安全护栏(safety guardrails)拦截了——它们无法区分事件响应者和攻击者。 我们最终改用 GLM 5.2 在自己的基础设施上运行取证分析。这带来了第二个好处:没有任何攻击者数据或它引用的凭证离开我们的环境。
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We probably have ~3 years left where human labor still earns real money. After that, most of it gets automated to the point where it doesn't pay. This is the end of labor-based capitalism, the model where you trade hours for a wage and stack it over a 40-year career. The window open right now is an information asymmetry. A few people see it coming. Most are waiting for it to be obvious. That gap is the whole opportunity. What I'd do with the window: convert time into things that survive the transition. Bitcoin, hard assets, compute, energy, food production, and social credit/distribution A wage is rent on your time. Automate the time and the rent collapses. Owning scarce things is the esc The people who spend these three years hoarding capital will look like geniuses in ten. When wages stop compounding, guess whats left? ownership
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🔴 Everyone's talking about the "asymmetry" on $SYN and comparing it to HYPE in its early days. Let's talk numbers. Over the last 24h, @SynapseProtocol processed $83,100 of volume on SpaceX and $50 on the S&P 500. Yes, just 50 dollars. Meanwhile, @DeriveXYZ, the actual leader in on-chain options (over 70% market share), does around $80M per day. And yet, the two have nearly identical FDVs ($125M for SYN, $170M for DRV). One does a few tens of thousands in volume, the other tens of millions. So where's the hype around SYN coming from? Mostly from @CryptoHayes, who bought around $2.2M of tokens OTC before starting to shill it. For the past few days, he's been comparing Hypercall (ex-Synapse) to Hyperliquid or Deribit to anyone who'll listen. The problem is, we know how this plays out: he backs a token, keeps the FOMO going, then announces out of nowhere that he's sold everything and never mentions it again. Can SYN keep going up? Sure. In cases like this, hype can last longer than your portfolio can hold a short. But one thing is clear: the real "asymmetry" was at the SPCX options launch back in early June (props to those who played it), not at +1,000% on comparisons that don't hold up to analysis.
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This claim by @brian_armstrong misses a few fundamental realities of cybersecurity: The Asymmetry: Defenders must secure 100% of the code, but attackers only need to find one single loophole. AI is Probabilistic: AI isn't a mathematical proof; it can't guarantee zero vulnerabilities. False Negatives: AI might be great at catching known bugs (Type 1 errors), but it will inevitably miss novel or complex exploits (Type 2 errors). Because AI likely will always miss something, the dynamic definitely still favors the attackers.
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I still want to be long the Hyperliquid ecosystem but I need some asymmetry. It’s time for an options dex to properly take on Deribit. Hypercall, owned by $SYN, is that challenger. Let’s see if they can cook.
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这个人 75% 的时候都是错的 但他在 Polymarket 上赚了 $3,470,000 胜率只有 24.5%。 也就是每 4 笔里,大概输 3 笔 但账户还是坐在 $3.4M profit 上 原因很简单: asymmetry 他不是靠高胜率赚钱 而是用大仓位去打 cheap longshots 中间吃很多小亏 然后等一笔足够大的命中,把前面所有亏损一次性覆盖 最典型的一笔: Spain $747,500 → $1,300,000 单笔 +$552K 这一笔,就能抹掉一百次 miss 这个账户从 $499 起步 现在 lifetime volume 已经做到 $90,500,000 总共只有 284 笔 这不是 grinder 更像一个拿着重仓去打长尾赔率的 sniper 现在他又把仓位压到了 2026 World Cup outright winners 里几个长赔率方向: England:11¢ Germany:5¢ Brazil:5¢ Ivory Coast:0.4¢ 其中 Ivory Coast 基本就是 lottery ticket 这些仓位今天都是红的 但对一个胜率只有 24.5% 的账户来说,红不一定代表策略失效 他的系统本来就不是天天赢 他只需要少数几次命中 而且命中时足够大 这个账户值得看的地方,不是“他看好哪支队” 而是他把 Polymarket 当成一个 asymmetry game: 低胜率 高赔率 大仓位 极少数 hit 决定全部结果
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When we partnered with Bubble, their original vision wasn't to build a network of agencies like RapidDev. It was the opposite: give people the tools to build for themselves. So when I got asked whether agencies still make sense in a world where AI can spin up software for anyone, I gave the honest answer. People will always hire vendors. I was on a walk-and-talk with a guy still selling websites for $10K. It doesn't matter how good the technology gets, there's an asymmetry of information. Busy owners don't want to learn the tools. They want the expert who's done it a thousand times, who knows how to structure a site, write the copy, get it right. Prices will collapse on the commodity end. That's already happening. But there will always be clients who want a professional job, and don't mind paying for it. That's the lane we're doubling down on at RapidDev. And it's why our bet on Bubble keeps paying off.
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The Trahan-Obernolte discussion draft text has dropped. I'm going to publish a longer and more carefully considered piece on this in the near future, but quick takes for twitter: I think the substance of the catastrophic risk provisions (IVO-style auditing and SB 53-style transparency, both with fairly robust rulemaking authority; incident reporting; whistleblower protections) is quite good, for the most part. Not absolutely perfect, but better than any other federal cat-risk bill that's been introduced so far. Unfortunately, I also think that the preemption (all state laws regulating development) is far too broad, and that this makes the bill as drafted a bad deal overall. Currently, you're preempting (for example) a broad range of state child safety laws, in exchange for a federal framework that (from what I've seen so far; I have not yet read all 270 pages) doesn't include substantial federal child safety protections. And it's not just child safety, it's every possible current or future state law that regulates development. If you narrowed the preemption to avoid that kind of asymmetry between the policies you're implementing federally and the policies you're eliminating at the state level, I think I would strongly support a bill like this. It doesn't have to be completely 1:1, necessarily; something like @deanwball's proposal, which preempted five specific categories of state law in exchange for federal transparency, might be good enough (depending on the details). Tl;dr. -- the draft is quite good on substance, but quite bad on preemption, and therefore (IMO) a bad deal overall. My hope is that it's a step in the right direction, and that as discussion continues the preemption section can evolve into something that makes more sense in terms of both politics and policy.
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GPT Image 2 Prompt:Movie Poster Source: --- Prompt --- 1960s French New Wave theatrical poster, bold photomontage composition, torn-paper collage sensibility, pop-art color bursts, high-contrast black-and-white imagery with selective red blue and yellow accents, hand-made offset-print texture, slightly off-register ink, expressive asymmetry, art-house poster cool, graphic spontaneity, street-poster energy, adventurous typography-led design. Poster text: - Large title at the bottom: "GPT Image 2.0" - Smaller headline at the top: "Image generation with a point of view" - Small footer text: "Coming soon" Keep all visible text in English. Use a theatrical poster composition.
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【AIイラスト初心者向け】 『簡易衣装の応用&作例編②』 ベースに使用したのは、引用元の②③⑦⑨です👍 作例の衣装プロンプトは、そのまま使ったり独自にカスタマイズなどご自由にお使いください✨ ---- 【1枚目の画像:② Relaxed wear(ゆるめ私服)】 relaxed outfit, loose top, soft fabric, comfortable fit, natural drape 👇 relaxed outfit, loose top, comfortable fit, natural drape, layered clothing, oversized silhouette, (off-shoulder), (dropped shoulders), long cardigan, light outerwear, wide sleeves, subtle asymmetry, minimal accessories, fabric folds, relaxed wrinkles, effortless style, calm atmosphere, ---- 【2枚目の画像:③ Techwear(テック系)】 techwear outfit, layered straps, dark utility clothing, functional design, futuristic style 👇  techwear outfit, layered straps, dark utility clothing, functional design, futuristic style, utility belt, multiple straps, buckles, tactical vest, gloves, high-tech accessories, panel lines, segmented design, matte material, subtle glow accents, modular design, urban tactical style, cyberpunk atmosphere ---- 【3枚目の画像:⑦ Monotone style(モノトーン)】 monotone outfit, black and white clothing, clean contrast, simple design 👇 monotone outfit, black and white clothing, clean contrast, simple design, layered clothing, asymmetrical design, long coat, fitted inner, minimal accessories, sharp silhouette, subtle patterns, contrast emphasis, modern fashion style, clean aesthetic, minimalist atmosphere ---- 【4枚目の画像:⑨ Performance outfit(舞台・アイドル系)】 performance outfit, stage costume, decorative details, flashy accents, idol style 👇 performance outfit, stage costume, decorative details, flashy accents, idol style, frilled skirt, ribbon accents, sequins, stage jewelry, microphone headset, arm accessories, thigh-high boots, sparkle details, dynamic design, coordinated outfit, refined stage design, stage spotlight atmosphere ---- …ちなみに、自分の本格的な衣装はポスト時よりも汎用的に使えるプロンプトやテンプレなども追加して記事にしているので良かったらそちらも一読くださると嬉しいです💪
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