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老黄下课还不到一天,马斯克已经公开递了三次话。 先摆事实。 一、11 月 8 号,红杉资本合伙人 Maguire 发帖,说老黄是这一代最出色的创业者之一,对美国的 AI 领导地位不可替代。马斯克转发,只回了两个字:I agree(同意)。 二、投资人 Gavin Baker 说,老黄的去留该等调查完让股东投票。马斯克回:Indeed(确实)。 三、今天财经账号 ZeroHedge 直接喊话:Elon,请雇老黄。马斯克亲自回:That would be an honour——那将是我的荣幸。 四、马斯克手里正好有个大摊子缺主帅:特斯拉和 SpaceX 合建的 Terafab 芯片厂,一期 168 亿美元已经在德州动工;11 月 6 号投资人 Baron 当面估算总造价要 1 万亿美元,马斯克说大概会,目标是 2032 年月产 100 万片晶圆。 五、英伟达今早的辞职公告和给证监会的文件里,对竞业、遣散、顾问角色,只字未提。 事实摆完,往前推。 第一格,岗位对口。Terafab 缺的不是钱,是一个把芯片从图纸带到量产、还镇得住场子的人。全球数得过来的人里,老黄排第一顺位——GPU 这条线就是他带出来的。马斯克三次递话,姿态已经做足。 第二格,也是最要紧的:一旦官宣老黄加盟,两只票怎么走? 先动的是 SpaceX(SPCX),弹性比特斯拉大。Terafab 名义上两家合建,但算力的故事主要在 SpaceX 这边——它三季度 AI 收入 76 亿美元、同比涨了 9 倍多,轨道数据中心全指望自研芯片。老黄加盟等于给这个故事配了个总工程师。今天盘面已经有点影子:SPCX 涨 2.7%,特斯拉基本平盘。 涨幅看名头:全职掌舵 Terafab,两只都得涨,SPCX 领涨;只是顾问名头,大概率冲高回落——名人站台市场见得多了。英伟达是镜像:今天博通涨 5.2%,已经预演了一遍「老黄离开」的定价;真去了对手家,那是第二波,丢的不只是人,是客户对路线图的信心。 冷水照例泼一盆:Terafab 第一批测试芯片要等到 2027 年中,量产更晚。官宣涨的是预期,后面得靠工程节点还债。何况特斯拉 1.5 万亿、SpaceX 1.94 万亿的盘子摆在那里,一个人能推的涨幅有限;再赶上两家合并谈判没定,真官宣那天,股价先算的可能是合并的账,不是老黄的账。 所以这事的顺序我排好了:先看英伟达董事会拿不拿竞业说事,再看马斯克给的名头,最后才是股价。17 号财报电话会,这个问题躲不掉。
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Gavin Williams strikes out three in the 5th 🔥 He's up to 11 Ks on the day!
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🚨#BREAKING#: Elon Musk has just announced that due to Governor Gavin Newsom signing AB1955, which bans schools from making rules requiring parental notification if a child identifies as transgender, among other laws, SpaceX will move its headquarters from
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Gavin Baker: "The Magnificent 7 will go from $10-12 trillion to $50-100 trillion. But one or two of them will go extinct." His foundation-model survival list is short: - Google — search-plus-Gemini flywheel - Meta — Llama + ad-revenue self-funding - xAI — X + Tesla data footprint Anthropic, OpenAI, everyone else — Baker treats them as commoditized. His FOMO warning: "Application SaaS is done. If you went all-in on crypto and SaaS in 2021, don't repeat the trade." On AGI: "Elon says 3 years. I say 5 is safer." On regulation: "The leading labs weaponized fear of China. There's going to be no regulation." The math he keeps quoting: $12T → $100T is 8x. But 1-2 die means winners take 30-40% of the total, not 14%. Baker's frame: no regulation + AGI in 5 years + Mag 7 8x = biggest enterprise-value transfer in market history is happening right now.
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Gavin Baker says Grok Bot feels like another ChatGPT moment because it turns hours of Claude Code work into seconds: "You see these 23-year-old kids and just the way they use AI, they're just fluent and native in it. I just feel like maybe in a way that no matter how hard I try, I will never be, and I'm trying really hard." "We got Claude Code. I built some stuff, did some cool stuff, and in, I don't know, 3 minutes of creating Grok Bots, I had much better versions of everything I created." "I love having a podcast summarizer... It takes 10 seconds in Grok Bot. It's amazing, and it's so good." "A Substack summarizer, an X summarizer, an X sentiment tracker for topics and stocks... All of those would have taken me hours working with Claude Code, and they each took 7 to 12 seconds with Grok Bot. And it's better." "To me, Grok Bot does feel like another ChatGPT moment." @GavinSBaker @DavidGeorge83
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The only thing Gavin Newsom delivers at high speed is his bullshit.
我一直觉得xclub活动不仅仅简单的热闹一下 而是不同行业,不同方向的产生碰撞。 形成一种合力。 今天武汉xclub有来自量化基金、mcn矩阵、ai创业者、交易员、web3律师 大家一起说着和@okxchinese 的故事 分享赚钱的经验,交谈合作共赢的机会。 大家目的相同,爱好趋同。 而我也在在这一份趋同中,寻找自己的兴趣点———测量。 没办法,女粉太多了,带着女粉参加xclub活动大家一起爱上测量。 卷尺 @Haiteng_okx 报销的。 饭是@huanwenyang 买单的(临近15分钟结束来的) 照片是@Mercy_okx 来之前拍的。 xclub武汉站,后面的故事是大家一起写的。 @Cayne_okx @xsmbtc @MilesAhead98 @Pallin_okx @btctangying @Brucesheepyang @Puffxj @web3fish @BTC100000u @xixibtc123 @love_doge123 @Kaigson @xbw1015 @dawda5152 @amber0v01 @EchoWangGX @Gavin_msg @0xAbot @jam2020618 @Galoria1112 @qklxsqf
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@GavinSBaker 3000 jobs is just for phase 1 of 10 btw
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