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Central bank decisions are not just policy updates — they can shift how traders read the global market. 🌍 When one central bank stays cautious while another signals tighter or looser policy, traders may start reassessing risk sentiment, capital flows, and potential opportunities across major assets. That is why keeping an eye on central bank direction matters, especially during periods of inflation pressure, rate uncertainty, and changing economic outlooks. Which central bank decision are you watching most closely right now? #Trading101# #TradingEducation# #CentralBanks# #InterestRates# #MonetaryPolicy# #GlobalMarkets# #MarketOutlook# #OnlineTrading#

Had a lot of fun chatting again with my twin brother @dylan522p We went through lab economics over the next few years - the shift from inference to training as RSI draws near; and how Anthropic and OpenAI are on track to control most of the world’s usable FLOPs within the next few years (because they can monetize compute better and thus outbid everyone). And then we discuss whether the >$10T of total AI capex we’ll see by the end of the decade will cause a sovereign debt crisis, where hyperscaler debt raises interest rates, drives non-AI exposed countries into bankruptcy, and crashes non-AI equities. One question we weren’t able to resolve is whether there’s anything that can counter all the forces barrelling towards centralization in this industry - the economies of scale in training, the scarcity of compute, and eventually continual learning and RSI. 0:00:00 – Two labs will soon control most of the world’s compute 0:07:01 – $6 billion in fab capex enables $1t+ of end revenue 0:13:08 – Compute prices will rise if the labs outbid everyone 0:18:22 – Which layer will capture most of the surplus? 0:25:40 – Will datacenter regulation slow down AI? 0:29:43 – Labs are shifting compute from inference to R&D 0:33:27 – China gets less than 10% of new compute, but its labs need less 0:48:48 – Will AI cause a sovereign debt crisis? 1:07:52 – Will the world's future workforce belong to a few companies?

Buy Crypto NOW.. Or You’ll Regret It By Friday!? Jeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business and WisdomTree chief economist tells CNBC that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will NOT raise interest rates before midterms. "I'm not a fan of the Bessent twist. I didn't think the markets were unruly or needed that extra liquidity." "If Warsh does that I think we could get a big rally there on Friday."

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Gold moves inversely with real US interest rates. Those are rising because markets think the Fed's reaction function is shifting in a hawkish direction under Warsh. That - plus the huge drop in oil prices - is driving up real rates as inflation tumbles...

Few Japanese businesses are happier to see the back of zero interest rates than banks, whose balance-sheets are reviving after three decades of punishing strain. But there are problems for small and regional lenders

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh opened a new era of US monetary policy, with officials agreeing to leave interest rates unchanged despite inflation stuck well above their target but also launching an ambitious review that could reshape how the ​central bank makes decisions and communicates with the public