Pray for the people of Venezuela… looks like they’ve been hit by a bomb.
🚨 SITREP: Venezuela Earthquakes — USGS PAGER modeling estimates Fatalities reach 100,000 Souls
🔻What & When:
Last night, 6:04 p.m. ET / corresponding Venezuelan time), two powerful earthquakes struck western/northern Venezuela in quick succession.
1. 7.2 magnitude foreshock near San Felipe, Yaracuy state.
2. 40 seconds later, a 7.5 magnitude mainshock about 23 km (14 miles) southeast of Yumare, also in Yaracuy state (roughly 160 km / 100 miles west of Caracas).
These were the strongest quakes to hit Venezuela in over a century.
The shaking was widely felt across much of the country (especially Caracas and coastal areas like La Guaira) and into neighboring Colombia. Depths were very shallow, amplifying the impact. A tsunami warning was issued but quickly canceled.
🔻 Casualties:
- Confirmed deaths: At least 164. Injuries: nearly 1,000
- Many people remain trapped under rubble; and the toll is expected to rise exponentially over the coming days/weeks.
The “up to 100,000 deaths” reports comes from USGS PAGER modeling (probabilistic estimates of potential fatalities based on shaking intensity, population exposure, and building vulnerability). USGS issued a red alert for high casualties and extensive damage.
Most likely outcome:
- Thousands of fatalities.
Substantial probability of exceeding 10,000.
Upper-end scenarios in the model reach up to 100,000 (with references to ~30% probability in some coverage for the highest band).
🔻 Damage and Impact:
Several Dozen buildings collapsed or were heavily damaged, particularly in Caracas and La Guaira state (declared a disaster zone).
— Pancaked or partially collapsed multi-story buildings.
— Damage to Simón Bolívar Airport (Maiquetía) near Caracas, which was temporarily closed.
— Widespread power and telecommunications outages (internet connectivity dropped sharply initially).
— Rubble-strewn streets and scenes of panic as people evacuated buildings.
— La Guaira and parts of Caracas were among the hardest-hit areas.
But suspiciously… Venezuela’s oil infrastructure appeared largely unaffected in initial reports.
🔻Government and Response Actions:
• Acting President Delcy Rodríguez declared a state of emergency, established a high-level task force for search-and-rescue, and announced a $200 million fund for reconstruction.
—— $200M is not nearly enough.
She addressed the nation, expressing condolences and calling the event a “true tragedy.” Security forces deployed nationwide; schools suspended for up to a week, at least for now; non-essential activities and some rail services canceled.
Hospitals braced for casualties by doubling shifts.
Rescue teams are actively searching rubble with power tools and heavy equipment; civilians have been asked to help with food, water, and debris removal.
🔻International Assistance:
• United States: Search-and-rescue teams (Fairfax County and Los Angeles), overhead imagery, and promises of “big, fast” support.
France: 85 search-and-rescue specialists.
Switzerland: 80 rescuers + 8 dogs + equipment.
Spain, Netherlands, Czech Republic, and others sending teams, dogs, and gear.
Solidarity messages from Russia, Ukraine, and others.
显示更多