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截至目前，美国以56GW容量领跑全球，其次是亚太（中国以外）15GW，欧洲中东非洲持有14GW，拉美2GW。Semi访谈了60多家公司，追踪1000多个数据中心，算出中国大概有24GW。 中国在电力供应、土建速度与成本上有较大优势，如下图，我国建一个100MW的数据中心仅需3亿美金（不含IT设备），美国需要15亿美金。 下图是Semi-analysis算的字节、阿里、腾讯、百度、华为5家公司的数据中心总容量。黄色为自建，蓝色为租赁。截至2026年，字节以5GW多居首，而且绝大部分是租的。华为大约持有1GW，几乎都是自建。阿里4GW，腾讯2GW+，百度1GW。

Feeling the AGI/ASI, few observations 1. Opus 5.5 really gives strong vibes of AGI (maybe not fully there, but we're very close, like 80%-90%). For example, few breakthoughs in training humanoids are needed. We need to move this intelligence into physical world. 2. I don't think Anthropic has discovered any magical formula. 3. Which means, SpaceXAI, Google, and others will soon follow. This prediction is based on the amount of compute they already have + additional compute being added all the time. 4. Never was more confident that Anthropic, SpaceXAI, Google, OpenAI, likely Meta, basically all big US AGI labs will have proper AGI in 2027. 5. And from there we'll move quickly to ASI territory (likely also in 2027). It looks like few GW of compute are enough for strong AGI, now imagine what we will able to do with 10-20GW of compute which are rapidly coming online. And then with 100GW-200GW... 2027 will be an utterly insane year.

SpaceX has introduced a new website for its AI training clusters in Tennessee/Mississippi. New info: • Tesla Megapacks will provide 3.3 GWh to Colossus 2, enough to power Memphis for two hours, making it America’s largest grid-connected battery pack. • SpaceX has invested millions of dollars in sound walls, silencers, and next-gen turbines with advanced quieting technologies. • Since joining the community in 2024, SpaceXAI is investing more than $90 billion in the region. Estimated 2026 tax revenue will be $60M+ • 7,500 local jobs supported • SpaceXAI is investing $360 million, at no cost to the city, in a clean water recycling plant. It is designed to process up to 10 million gallons of wastewater a day and would offset ~3.64 billion gallons a year from the Memphis Aquifer. • In Memphis, SpaceXAI is investing $35 million in a 150 MW substation to support MLGW and another $20 million in a second substation. Both come online at no cost to MLGW or homeowners. • Temporary power is coming off. Under an agreed order with the Mississippi Department of Environmental Quality, all remaining temporary turbines must be removed by July 2027. SpaceXAI is already taking units offline and expects to complete removal well ahead of that deadline. Website:

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1/ 美国AI数据中心缺的电，相当于六个纽约市。 摩根士丹利预计，到2028年数据中心总电力需求将达257GW，美国供电能力与销售预测之间仍有30%至40%的缺口。 纽约市的基础负荷约为5.5至6GW。换句话说，美国少了六个纽约市的电。👇