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我越来越觉得,预测市场真正有意思的地方,不是“预测”,而是把争议变成了一个可以持续验证的问题。 比如最近 BitMart 的争议,网上各种声音都有,但真正关键的问题其实就一个: 2026 年 12 月 31 日前,BitMart 会不会发布独立第三方审计的储备报告? 现在 @ForesoGlobal 社区已经把这个问题放进了预测市场。 这和单纯看新闻、刷评论不太一样。 后续每出现一条新信息,市场概率都会重新定价。官方声明、用户反馈、审计报告,甚至没有报告本身,都可能影响大家的判断。 所以我更关注的不是现在概率是多少,而是: 接下来什么证据,能够真正让市场改变看法? 如果预测市场越来越多地承载这种真实世界议题,它或许会变成一种新的信息发现机制。 @BitMartExchange @sheldonbitmart @vooeie @kingkksol @cz_binance @heyibinance @WuBlockchain @Protos @CoinDesk @PANewsCN @OdailyChina @zachxbt 市场👇 #Foreso# #BitMart# #PredictionMarkets#
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If I had $500k in crypto now, I would: 1. Go full-time crypto. Move somewhere cheap. One year to make it. 2. No BTC, no ETH, no SOL, no HYPE. 3. No memecoins. No directional leverage. 4. Allocate $250k to a delta-neutral strategy between @tradexyz and @metricxyz. -> Short equity perps trading at a premium on tradexyz, buy the matching tokenized equities on metricxyz. One strategy, three potential airdrops: HL S3 + tradexyz + metricxyz. 5. Allocate $50k to prediction markets on HIP-4. Market make tradfi outcomes. If options launch, be ready to arb them against a broker from day one. 6. Deposit and loop $200k of sUSDe on Aave. -> Deposit sUSDe, borrow USDC, swap into more sUSDe. Use the net yield and some of the principal to cover living expenses. Rotate into @acier, an upcoming lending protocol, when it's live. 7. Build AI apps on @flop_labs during testnet. -> Vibe code your own apps. Use free testnet inference to get your first users and position yourself for the FLOP agent airdrop. The goal: stay consistent and optimistic while positioning myself for potentially huge airdrops. One year. Locked in.
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Meet the first 4 projects joining PredictTime PitchDay On October 12 at 4:00 PM UTC, they’ll take the stage at our first PitchDay to present what they’re building, face questions from the judges, and compete for a place in the Super Final @tenbips a research lab tackling one of the most overlooked risks in prediction markets: settlement risk. 10bips is building a way to quantify how likely a market is to settle cleanly - before it actually resolves @Polydict_trade an AI layer for prediction markets and perps. Polydict already brings trading to web, Telegram, and Farcaster, and is building infrastructure that will allow AI agents to read markets, analyze them, and trade securely on behalf of users @preddytrade a prediction market trading interface built around fast discovery and execution. The platform already covers multiple market categories, combos, trader tools, and leveraged Polymarket trading @bagel_win a mobile-first prediction market app designed to make predicting simpler, more social, and more engaging. Users can explore and trade markets across sports, esports, crypto, and trending events directly from mobile 4 projects. One stage Live on X / YouTube
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We really got tokenization, prediction markets, 24/7 trading, US perps, sub-second payments, and Bitcoin back above $80,000 before GTA 6.
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Prediction markets are moving into the mainstream, and Polymarket is leading the charge. Whether you're taking a long-term position on global news or trading fast 5-minute BTC "Up or Down" contracts, you can now access Polymarket seamlessly through KuCoin Web3 Wallet using USDC on Polygon. Check out our step-by-step beginner's guide on the KuCoin Blog 🔗
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🥯 Bagel Ambassador Program is LIVE Think you can bring more people into prediction markets? We’re looking for community builders, traders, creators, and regional leaders to grow with Bagel. 🎁 Exclusive rewards 📈 Performance-based incentives 🚀 Early access & Official badge If this sounds like you, we want you on Bagel! Apply now 👇
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Prediction markets are betting real money on bitcoin’s next big move, while Bernstein sees a much bigger prize over the long run. So, who gets the bitcoin price forecast right? 👀
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💡 CoinMarketCap | Crypto Prediction Markets 💡 Talk might be cheap, however capital never lies… Stop trusting the timeline and start following the money! Track real conviction with: 🔹 Real-time odds backed by actual bets 🔹 Probabilities for crypto price targets 🔹 Capital flow on major market events Find the crypto odds here 👇
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RWAs. Perps. Prediction markets. The DeFi stack is getting more sophisticated. Meet the speakers building it at Sui Basecamp: - @zabimx, @bluefinapp - @chrisrevault, @CurrentSUI - @elliscopef, @navi_protocol - @Joethebeast1221, @WaterX_app
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📂 Useful Crypto Apps (2026 edition) ┃ ┣ 📂 DeFi ┃ ┣ 📁 @aave ┃ ┣ 📁 @MorphoLabs ┃ ┣ 📁 @compoundfinance ┃ ┣ 📁 @LidoFinance ┃ ┣ 📁 @kamino ┃ ┗ 📁 @jito ┃ ┣ 📂 Wallets ┃ ┣ 📁 @MetaMask ┃ ┣ 📁 @phantom ┃ ┣ 📁 @Rabby_io ┃ ┣ 📁 @rainbowdotme ┃ ┣ 📁 @DinhtienSol ┃ ┣ 📁 @TrustWallet ┃ ┗ 📁 @safe (multisig) ┃ ┣ 📂 Hardware Wallets ┃ ┣ 📁 @Ledger ┃ ┗ 📁 @Trezor ┃ ┣ 📂 Stablecoin Yield ┃ ┣ 📁 @pendle_fi ┃ ┣ 📁 @ethena ┃ ┗ 📁 @sparkfinance ┃ ┣ 📂 Onchain Perps ┃ ┣ 📁 @HyperliquidX ┃ ┣ 📁 @Lighter_xyz ┃ ┣ 📁 @Aster_DEX ┃ ┗ 📁 @GMX_IO ┃ ┣ 📂 Swaps & Aggregators ┃ ┣ 📁 @Uniswap ┃ ┣ 📁 @JupiterExchange ┃ ┣ 📁 @1inch ┃ ┗ 📁 @CoWSwap ┃ ┣ 📂 Bridges ┃ ┣ 📁 @AcrossProtocol ┃ ┣ 📁 @StargateFinance ┃ ┣ 📁 @lifiprotocol ┃ ┣ 📁 @RelayProtocol ┃ ┗ 📁 @deBridgeFinance ┃ ┣ 📂 Crypto Cards ┃ ┣ 📁 @ether_fi ┃ ┣ 📁 @MetaMask ┃ ┣ 📁 @gnosispay ┃ ┣ 📁 @RedotPay ┃ ┣ 📁 @cryptocom ┃ ┣ 📁 @Plasma ┃ ┣ 📁 @KASTxyz ┃ ┗ 📁 @holyheld ┃ ┣ 📂 Tokenized Stocks ┃ ┣ 📁 @RobinhoodApp ┃ ┣ 📁 @xStocksFi ┃ ┣ 📁 @Ondo ┃ ┗ 📁 @Gemini ┃ ┗ 📂 Prediction Markets ┣ 📁 @Polymarket ┣ 📁 @Kalshi ┗ 📁 @trylimitless Part 2 👇
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