Teslaconomics (@Teslaconomics) “SpaceX is SIGNIFICANTLY undervalued if you believe Elon and the team can execute” — TopicDigg

SpaceX is SIGNIFICANTLY undervalued if you believe Elon and the team can execute on what they just laid out. At today’s ~$1.51T market cap, SpaceX trades at roughly 48-66x sales. Is it expensive based on today’s numbers? Sure. But look at what happens if the SpaceX team hits the targets shared on the Q2 earnings call: • $100B ARR by the end of 2026 → ~15x Price/Sales • $1 Trillion in annual revenue by 2030 → ~1.5x Price/Sales And fyi, that $1T target was pulled forward from 2031, with Elon saying there’s even a non-zero chance of reaching it in 2029. You see, SpaceX doesn’t need to stay at a 50x+ sales multiple for today’s valuation to eventually look cheap. If revenue grows ANYWHERE close to management’s roadmap, the denominator catches up super fast and the valuation multiple collapses. At the same $1.51T market cap, you go from ~48-66x sales today to ~15x at $100B ARR, and eventually just ~1.5x at $1T in revenue. So investment thesis is actually pretty simple… Either 1/ management’s targets are wildly wrong… or 2/ SpaceX at $1.51T is still pricing in far less of the future than people realize. I’m putting $ where my mouth is that the latter is the case.