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BTC 15-Min Prediction Challenge Round 3 kicks off soon. 💰 $1,000 USDT Prize Pool 🎁 Daily Mystery Boxes 🏆 Leaderboard Rewards 📅 May 29, 0:00:00- June 4, 23:59:59 UTC 👇Get ready — starts in 8 hours! #Foreso# #BTC# #PredictionMarket#

不少圈内玩家都在讨论当下Polymarket的真实行业现状： 普通参与者还停留在手动刷新盘面、紧盯涨跌行情的阶段，各类自动化交易脚本早已在GitHub完全开源对外开放。 整理8套不同赛道免费自动化程序，每一份开源项目都附带完整英文部署文档与功能详细说明： 1. CloddsBot 出自剑桥黑客松参赛项目，整合118套成熟交易策略，覆盖币安跨盘价差套利、趋势追踪、低价合约收割、智能委托、定期定投、到期价差抓取等多种玩法 2. polymarket_lp_tool 主打平台流动性订单自动化管理，核心作用提升流动性挖矿带来的奖励收益 3. Kalshi Weather Model 气象专项机器学习程序，不直接照搬公开气象播报数据，依托多年气象多维度数据集修正预测误差 4. Polymarket-Kalshi Arbitrage Bot 自动扫描两大预测平台之间存在无风险价差的机会，一键执行跨盘套利 5. Polymarket-bot 内置优质交易者筛选机制，自动筛选高胜率、稳定盈利钱包，生成自动化跟单队列 6. Prediction Markets Trading Bot Toolkits 全能型综合工具集合，支持跟单复制、跨市场套利、大户持仓监控、流动性做市、点差复利、体育赛事合约交易等多种功能 7. PolyWeather 国内开发者开发气象专用脚本，实时同步气象预报、机场观测、航空气象数据，生成指定周期城市气象分析报告 8. Awesome Prediction Market Tools 整合三十余款预测市场配套机器人与辅助工具合集 绝大多数开源工具都搭载Dry Run模拟运行模式，可以依托真实行情数据校验策略逻辑，无需动用自有资金实操。 客观来讲，如今的Polymarket早已不只是简单事件押注场所，而是量化代码、AI智能代理、程序开发者聚集的交易赛道。 Polymarket中文访问入口： 提醒各位，不要刚接触就直接实盘操作，务必通读源码、完整跑完模拟测试、吃透策略底层逻辑再做考量。 需要自动化同步高手交易的工具，我日常在用PolyCop： #Polymarket#

This week sovereign wealth-backed capital came onchain, retail giants opened Solana to 8M+ households, and tokenized asset volume smashed another all-time high. Here's everything that shipped: 📰 Headline News - Morgan Stanley made Solana available to eligible E*TRADE clients, opening access across 8.7 million households - @Mubadala Capital’s Alternative Solutions Fund went live on Solana via @KAIO_xyz - @tryramp opened 24/7 stablecoin accounts and payments settling on Solana 📰 Launches - Intel tokenized stock ($INTC) went live via @Backpack Securities and @sunrise - @jtx_trade opened its unified trading surface for majors, memes, and RWAs to everyone - @LayerZero_Core and @KeetaNetwork brought tokenized bank deposits to Solana - @MetaMask activated gasless Solana swaps, covering gas fees for trades over $200 - @Lexur launched in public beta, aggregating Solana perps across Pacifica, Jupiter, Bullet, and more - @dopplerprotocol went live on Solana Mainnet - @hylo_so shipped xBTC, bringing liquidation-resistant 3x BTC exposure onchain - @Bulletxyz launched 24/7 trading with up to 10x leverage for metals, oil, and chipmakers - @trydapital debuted Dapital, a social trading network for RWAs, memes, and tokens - @altitude introduced Altitude Accounting to automate transaction classification - @Thea_AI launched AI inference routing and settlement on Solana - @RyderWallet added native SOL staking on Ryder One via @Meria_Finance and @yieldxyz - @CandyDigital enabled true self-custody for digital collectibles on Solana - @meleemarkets unveiled Parimutuel Market Maker (PMM) design for permissionless prediction markets - @Pumpfun introduced BOOST mode to reinject post-migration liquidity into token buybacks and burns - @risedotrich enabled cross-chain swaps to Solana powered by @deloraprotocol - @Beezie went live with zero-recycled-slab claw machine collectibles - @BananaZoneApp shipped Paid Play for @solanamobile users with real rewards - @streamflow_fi enabled NFT locking for time-bound collectible custody - @backyard_fi kicked off Backyard BBQ: Season 0 for yield rewards - @cleopetrafun launched Thesis Index to trade macro theses via prediction market baskets - @flint_trade_ launched streamlined liquidity quoting for Solana market makers - @tapmapfun launched Treasure Hunt for local business check-ins and rewards - @machinedotfun, @codecopenflow, and @peaq opened applications for The Foundry, a Physical AI accelerator - @TryNoahAI opened waitlists for Noah Accelerate to support Solana builders - @magicblock and @SuperteamMY opened applications for their VIP builder program - @fairdotclub partnered with @LaFamilia_so to expand private capital formation 📰 Milestones - Tokenized-asset trading volume on Solana reached a record $5.8B in Q2, up 114% QoQ - @byreal_io surpassed $4B in total trading volume - @kamino’s OnRe Market passed $200M in total market size - @humafinance PST crossed $200M market cap - @ExponentFinance crossed $120M TVL - @usdgo_official crossed $1B in circulating supply in 5 months - @Beezie reached $2M in total volume across 5965 claw pulls - Solana consumer card top-ups reached a record $94.32M in a single month in Q2 - @fomo logged 17.4K active daily traders executing on Solana If you enjoyed this week’s newsletter, please share it with an RT. Artwork by @Suffoca 🔥

Ethereum is for shipping. Here are some of the things the Ethereum ecosystem launched, upgraded, and announced over the past month. 0/ @RobinhoodApp launched Robinhood Chain (@RobinhoodCrypto) on mainnet, an Ethereum Layer 2 built on the @arbitrum stack, enabling 24/7 trading of tokenized stocks and ETFs for users in over 120 countries through Robinhood Wallet. The network surpassed $1B in DEX volume in just over a week. 1/ @aztecnetwork achieved Stage 2 rollup decentralization under @l2beat's framework, removing governance control over its core protocol and taking another step toward trust-minimized infrastructure. 2/ @VitalikButerin shared updates to Ethereum's evolving technical roadmap, outlining the next phase of Lean Ethereum and the protocol's long-term direction. 3/ @ethlabs_org launched as a non-profit R&D lab for Ethereum and ETH. Their mission is to make Ethereum the settlement layer of the global economy. 4/ @ethereuminsti launched as an independent non-profit dedicated to accelerating the institutional adoption of Ethereum, its L2s, applications and overall ecosystem. 5/ @aave introduced Stable Vaults, fixed-rate stablecoin yield vaults designed for seamless integration into consumer applications. 6/ @zama launched the First DeFi Yield Venue for Confidential USDC (cUSDC) in partnership with @Morpho and @SteakhouseFi, bringing private stablecoin lending to Ethereum. 7/ @swissknifexyz launched a new Privacy Protocol Tracker, making it easier to compare fees, wait times, supported chains, and other metrics across Ethereum privacy protocols. 8/ Global tickets for @EFDevcon 8 went live, alongside speaker applications for this year’s conference in Mumbai, India. 9/ @Optimism and @toss__official signed an agreement to explore bringing the Korean Won onchain, expanding blockchain-based financial infrastructure for one of South Korea's largest fintech platforms. 10/ @OctantApp completed Epoch 12, its first full quadratic funding round using a zero-knowledge vote coprocessor and new voting application, distributing 88.1 WETH to Ethereum public goods projects. 11/ @0xprivacypools launched the trusted setup ceremony for Privacy Pools V2 ahead of its next protocol deployment. 12/ Gwei Name Service launched an ownerless, immutable Ethereum naming system built without administrative ownership. 13/ @ammalgam launched on Ethereum mainnet, introducing oracle-free lending without impermanent loss. 14/ @lodestar_eth added support for Fast Confirmations, allowing Ethereum node operators to confirm transactions in a single slot using validator attestations. 15/ @PrivacyBoost introduced preconfirmations for private transfers, allowing transfers to be treated as usable in around one second before final settlement. 16/ The @ethereumfndn published Ethereum Basics for Governments and Institutions, a new primer introducing Ethereum as a credibly neutral digital public utility for policymakers and enterprise leaders. 17/ @OndoFinance launched @OndoPerps, enabling tokenized stocks to be used as collateral for perpetual futures across equities, commodities, and indices. 18/ @base introduced Base Privacy, giving enterprises infrastructure to trade, pay, and settle onchain with built-in confidentiality and compliance features. 19/ @BGDA_UK launched BAGEY, a natively tokenized UK regulated fund on Ethereum where the blockchain serves as the legal register of record. 20/ @sparkdotfi launched the Stablecoin FX Layer on @Uniswap v4, introducing shared liquidity infrastructure that lets stablecoins access a common liquidity layer. 21/ @Trueo_ launched user-created prediction markets, allowing anyone to create a market by asking a question and letting participants trade on the outcome through a fully onchain prediction market. 22/ @kpk_io integrated @OpenCover Covered Vaults, allowing depositors to add opt-in onchain insurance to curated vaults, with coverage underwritten by @NexusMutual. 23/ @PropellerSwap launched Turbine on Ethereum mainnet, enabling large trades to settle with lower slippage by sourcing liquidity across onchain, offchain, and peer-to-peer markets. 24/ Hosted by @web3privacy, the Neocypherpunk Summit brought together around 1,000 builders and researchers in Berlin to advance privacy, open-source infrastructure, and human rights. 25/ @eth_systems launched as a company building modular privacy infrastructure for institutional Ethereum.

XTruth Integrates with OKX Onchain Outcomes to Provide Onchain Result Adjudication for World Cup Prediction Markets Summary XTruth has now integrated with OKX Onchain Outcomes, providing result submission, dispute resolution, and onchain settlement support for its World Cup prediction markets. OKX Onchain Outcomes serves as the infrastructure for this edition's official OKX World Cup prediction event. The first batch of markets covers six major categories — including overall champion and Golden Boot — as well as all 104 individual matches throughout the tournament. XTruth: Bringing Real-World Outcomes Onchain, Credibly XTruth is an open optimistic oracle deployed on X Layer, focused on solving one problem: how to credibly submit and settle clearly defined, verifiable real-world event outcomes onchain. Every prediction market needs a clear final outcome. Under XTruth's mechanism, a proposer submits an event result according to preset rules, while other participants can verify the proposal during a dispute window and challenge incorrect results. If a proposal goes unchallenged during the dispute period, the result moves to final settlement; if a dispute arises, it's handled according to the protocol's adjudication process. All proposals, challenges, and settlement records are recorded onchain and are publicly verifiable. XTruth also uses economic incentives to encourage community participation in result adjudication. Proposers who submit correct results earn adjudication rewards, while disputers who successfully challenge incorrect proposals can earn rewards according to protocol rules. The first round of community proposer recruitment has been completed, and the initial cohort of participants has already begun submitting and verifying match results in World Cup–related markets, earning OKB rewards in the process. Shortening Settlement Cycles for Time-Sensitive Markets Traditional optimistic oracles typically set relatively long dispute periods. Once a proposal enters the dispute process, the market may also need to wait for additional voting or adjudication time. For sporting events, results are usually clear shortly after the match ends, and users want markets to settle as quickly as possible. For these time-sensitive scenarios with clearly defined outcomes, XTruth supports configuring dispute periods as short as a few minutes, reducing the wait time from result submission to final settlement. A shorter dispute period doesn't mean skipping verification. Proposers still must submit results according to the rules and data sources predetermined by the market, and disputers can still challenge incorrect proposals within the allotted time. XTruth aims to strike the right balance between settlement efficiency and result reliability for high-time-sensitivity markets. Beyond Sports: Expanding into More Real-World Scenarios Sports isn't the only application XTruth is built for. As long as an outcome is clearly defined, the data source is well established, and a verifiable conclusion is possible, the same mechanism can be applied to macroeconomic events, onchain metrics, and entertainment data, among other scenarios. For example, whether a central bank rate decision resulted in a rate cut, whether a given chain's TVL exceeded a preset threshold at a specific point in time, or whether a film's opening-weekend box office (per a specified data source) hit a target figure — all of these can be defined as events requiring onchain adjudication. Such markets need to clearly specify, at creation, the object being observed, the data source, the measurement methodology, and the deadline. XTruth is then responsible for supporting result submission, dispute resolution, and final settlement. Exchange OS is an open protocol for the X Layer ecosystem. For prediction markets and dApps that require real-world result adjudication, XTruth plans to offer standardized oracle integration capabilities. Airdrop Season 1 Is Now Live XTruth Season 1 has officially launched, with a total ecosystem incentive pool of 5 million XTR allocated this season to reward participants who make meaningful contributions to the ecosystem. After completing basic tasks and qualifying for participation, users can get involved in three ways: joining the Hook x World Cup Hackathon to build a V4 Hook; completing designated tasks during the BillionLive World Cup season; or deploying and trading tokens on Eulr. For detailed task requirements, contribution calculation methods, and reward distribution rules, please visit: Becoming X Layer's Real-World Result Adjudication Layer XTruth's goal is to become the result adjudication layer connecting onchain markets with real-world events across the X Layer ecosystem. Starting with World Cup prediction markets, XTruth will continue to validate its open result submission, community challenge, and onchain settlement mechanisms. As more integrations come online, an expanding range of clearly defined, verifiable real-world events will be able to be asserted, verified, and settled on X Layer. XTruth 接入 OKX Onchain Outcomes，为世界杯竞猜市场提供链上结果裁定 XTruth 现已接入 OKX Onchain Outcomes，为其世界杯竞猜市场提供结果提交、争议处理与链上结算支持。OKX Onchain Outcomes 是本届 OKX 世界杯官方竞猜活动的基础设施。首批市场覆盖总冠军、金靴等六类主题，以及贯穿整届赛事的 104 场单场比赛。 XTruth：将现实结果可信地写入链上 XTruth 是部署于 X Layer 的开放式乐观预言机，专注于解决一个问题：如何将定义清晰、结果可验证的现实世界事件可信地提交并结算到链上。 每一个预测市场都需要明确的最终结果。在 XTruth 的运行机制中，proposer 根据预设规则提交事件结果，其他参与者可以在争议期内核验提案，并对错误结果发起挑战。如果提案在争议期内未被成功挑战，该结果将进入最终结算；如果发生争议，则按照协议设定的裁定流程处理。相关提案、挑战和结算记录均在链上留痕，可供公开核验。 XTruth 同时通过经济激励鼓励社区参与结果裁定。正确提交结果的 proposer 可以获得裁决奖励；成功挑战错误提案的 disputer 可以按照协议规则获得相应奖励。 第一轮社区 proposer 招募现已完成，首批参与者已经开始在世界杯相关市场中提交和核验比赛结果，并从中赚取okb奖励。 为高时效市场缩短结算周期 传统乐观预言机通常设置较长的争议期。当提案进入争议流程后，市场还可能需要等待额外的投票或裁定时间。 对体育赛事而言，结果通常在比赛结束后迅速明确，用户也希望市场能够尽快完成结算。针对这类结果明确、时效性要求较高的场景，XTruth 支持配置分钟级争议期，以缩短从结果提交到最终结算的等待时间。 更短的争议期并不意味着取消核验环节。proposer 仍需按照市场预先确定的规则和数据来源提交结果，disputer 也可以在规定时间内对错误提案发起挑战。 XTruth 希望在结算效率与结果可信度之间建立适合高时效市场的平衡。 从体育赛事走向更多现实场景 体育并不是 XTruth 唯一面向的应用方向。 在结果定义清晰、数据来源明确且具备可验证结论的前提下，同一套机制还可以用于宏观事件、链上指标和娱乐数据等场景。例如，某次议息会议公布的目标利率是否下调、某条链在指定时间点的 TVL 是否超过预设数值，或某部影片按指定数据源统计的首周末票房是否达到目标，都可以被定义为需要链上裁定的事件。 这些市场需要在创建时明确观察对象、数据来源、统计口径和截止时间。XTruth 则负责支持结果提交、争议处理与最终结算。 Exchange OS 是面向 X Layer 生态的开放协议。对于需要现实结果裁定的预测市场和 dApp，XTruth 计划提供标准化的预言机接入能力。 Airdrop Season 1 已开启 XTruth Season 1 现已启动，本季设置总计 500 万枚 XTR 的生态激励额度，用于回馈对生态作出有效贡献的参与者。 用户完成基础任务并获得参与资格后，可以通过三类方式参与：参加 Hook x World Cup Hackathon 并构建 V4 Hook；在 BillionLive 世界杯赛季中完成指定任务；或在 Eulr 上部署和交易代币。 具体任务要求、贡献计算方式及奖励分配规则请查看： 成为 X Layer 的现实结果裁定层 XTruth 的目标，是成为 X Layer 生态连接链上市场与现实事件的结果裁定层。 从世界杯竞猜开始，XTruth 将继续验证开放式结果提交、社区挑战和链上结算机制。随着接入场景增加，更多定义清晰、结果可验证的现实事件，将能够在 X Layer 上被断言、被核验并完成结算。 #Xtruth# #OKX# #Xlayer#

Base 수장이 바뀐다 Jesse가 냉정하게 현상태를 이야기했다. “우리가 2024~2025년에 밀었던 @base 핵심 내러티브는 틀렸다.” Jesse가 인정한 실패는 Base가 굉장히 오랫동안 “온체인 소셜”을 다음 메스어돕션의 중심으로 봤다는 점이다. Farcaster, Zora, miniapps, creator coin 등등 크립토가 대중에게 가려면 사람들이 매일 쓰는 소셜 앱이 필요하고, 크리에이터와 콘텐츠와 메시지가 온체인으로 올라오면 자연스럽게 수억 명이 들어올 것처럼 보였는데 그런데 결국 이 이론이 틀린셈이 됐다 사람들은 크립토를 한 이유는 온체인 게시글을 쓰려고 들어온 게 아니라 돈을 움직이려고 들어왔다. 실제로 성장한 건 소셜 네트워크가 아니라 금융 네트워크였다. Base의 문제는 개발자가 없었던 게 아니다. 오히려 빌더들은 있었다. 문제는 그 빌더들의 에너지를 어디에 집중시킬지에 대한 방향성이 틀렸다는 것이다. 크립토에서 “소셜”은 관심도를 만들 수는 있다. 하지만 유동성이 계속 머무는 곳은 결국 수익이 있는 곳이다. Base는 이걸 조금 늦게 인정한 듯하다. 그래서 이번 변화가 중요하다고 본다. Base App은 Coinbase 본진으로 돌아가고, Cobie가 맡는다고 한다 앱은 Coinbase의 소비자 제품으로 키우고 Base는 체인 인프라로 다시 정체성을 리모델링 한다는 이야기다 나는 Base가 실패했다기보다, Base가 자기 부진을 명확히 인지했다고 생각한다 결국 크립토의 대중화는 “새로운 소셜 앱”보다 “더 나은 금융 경험”에서 나올 가능성이 커졌다. Base가 앞으로 잘될지는 아직 모른다. Perps와 prediction market에서는 이미 Hyperliquid, Polymarket 같은 강한 플레이어들이 자리잡고 있고 L2 에서는 Robinhood가 무섭게 치고 올라오고 있다. Base의 진짜 시험은 이제부터다. 사람들이 Base를 좋아하게 만드는 게 아니라, 유동성이 Base를 지나갈 수밖에 없게 만들어야 한다.

Time to explore July's market insights! Discover key insights on: 🔸 Binance Equity Holders Conviction 🔸 SpaceX Pre-IPO Liquidity Transition 🔸 World Cup Prediction Market Record 🔸 Tokenized Stock as Price Discovery ...and more. Read here ⬇️

millions wondered "what is world xyz?" 🌎 world is the @solana prediction market world is live in @phantom with @chainlink as oracle infra world is how the world trades what happens next world is just getting started

the underrated projects on @solana series is here. here's a project you shouldn't miss 👇 @JKIndex_ by @Groovy_HQ, a prediction market for trading card grades. you predict a card's grade before PSA sees it. no RNG, no house. which one should we cover next? 🤔 comment below 👇