This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$280,122 on Polymarket
33,043 predictions in 144 days with a 51% win rate
How is this account bringing in about $1,945 per day? The logic is simple:
1. It concentrates on short crypto “Up / Down” markets, averaging about 10 trades per hour
2. Rather than treating every window as a single prediction, the system appears to keep reevaluating the probabilities while the market is still open
3. It can build a directional position first, then use the opposite outcome later to reduce risk or improve the structure when conditions change
This trader’s Polymarket account:
Most profitable trades:
$10,219 → $19,041 (+$8,822 +86.3%)
$12,355 → $20,800 (+$8,445 +68.4%)
$7,605 → $15,571 (+$7,966 +104.8%)
The 51% win rate is only part of the picture. Most of the performance comes from how the system sizes, hedges, and restructures exposure across more than 33,000 entries
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