This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Skew system and it made $1,658 a day on Polymarket
The result is already +$334,927 PnL in 202 days with about $96 per average trade, repeating the same setup roughly 38 times every hour across BTC "Up or Down" markets
Several AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Short-Term Momentum determines the direction of the latest BTC move
The bot compares BTC with its level 30 seconds earlier:
Momentum = (Current BTC - BTC 30s Ago) / BTC 30s Ago × 100
Positive Momentum → Up bias
This gives the system an immediate directional signal without relying on a longer-term trend
2. Realized Semivariance measures which direction accounts for more of the recent volatility
Instead of treating all BTC fluctuations equally, the algorithm separates positive and negative returns:
Up Variance = Σ max(Return, 0)²
Down Variance = Σ min(Return, 0)²
It then calculates:
Skew = (Up Variance - Down Variance) / (Up Variance + Down Variance)
Positive Skew → upward moves dominate recent volatility
Positive Momentum + Positive Skew → stronger Up signal
The bot focuses on movements where direction and volatility asymmetry support the same outcome
This is the first agent that will create a trading bot strategy for you and then build it:
This trader’s Polymarket account: antsaslyku
Most profitable trades:
$535 → $2,860 (+$2,325)
$632 → $2,896 (+$2,264)
$685 → $2,602 (+$1,916)
The system uses Momentum to detect BTC direction and Realized Semivariance to confirm where the strongest movement is concentrated
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