I recently signed a 2-year, $12M NBA contract.
Looking back, 3 decisions shaped how I got here:
1. Turned down an extra ~$250K to transfer for my 5th year and stayed at Stanford.
2. Chose to go undrafted instead of getting drafted so I could pick the best situation. That led me to Denver.
3. Turned down a ~$2M guaranteed extension to bet on myself in free agency. I risked injury, poor play, or getting nothing.
I ended up earning roughly 3x that offer.
Three times I had the opportunity to take the money/status in front of me.
Three times I chose the option I thought gave me the best long-term expected value.
$250K → No. Getting drafted → No. $2M guaranteed → No.
Eventually → $12M.
Sometimes the biggest risk is taking the safe option too early.
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Finance#