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CM (@chenmo)

@chenmo
陈默 DeFi OG. Core LUNAtics. // DeFi Research and Practice.
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清晰法案的影响被低估了,它通过的背后意味着: BTC、ETH将可能在法律层面成为数字商品,长期摆脱证券属性。 银行、机构能够正式持有这些资产,直接参与质押、支付、defi,而不再通过中介或ETF。 ETF创造的是相对静态的持仓需求,直接持币可能创造的是可循环使用的资产负债表需求。 以ETH 为例 现货ETF是允许机构投资以太坊,而CLARITY是允许美国金融机构围绕以太坊开展业务。 ETH的潜在需求也将从“配置需求”扩展为“运营需求”。银行、券商、支付机构、基金和企业可能因为开展业务而持续持有ETH,而不只是因为看涨价格而购买ETH。 当然这也适用于其他有竞争力的公链。 这个影响可能是长期的,它不一定意味着行情反转,但这算是一个强力的发动机和催化剂,影响力不亚于BTC、ETH现货ETF通过。
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Sky把所有稳定币流动性迁移到Uniswap后,两家又合作集成了PSM,这是USDS-USDC的完全零滑点兑换,能支持单笔千万级别的订单。 加上之前部署了pyUSD、USDT的低费用池,多数交易大概率也会被吸到这里,现在看Sky还能接手多少新稳定币的流动性,两家在稳定币交易这块形成了利益绑定关系。
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关于稳定币话题的争议,Circle CEO这个回应有一个明显的问题,赢家通吃的前提是你是赢家,毫无疑问USDC在链上是赢家且具备一定垄断效应,但在支付、Agent等领域还远没达到这个水平。 本质上来说,市场之前赌的是USDC能把链上的统治力延展到其他领域,OUSD的影响是拉低了CRCL在这方面的预期。 Circle 花费数年构建的基础设施,铺的渠道,这些都是很大的优势,但多数是集中在Crypto的,这种优势扩大到其他领域的能力和效果存疑(最后可能趋于同质化,演变成用工商银行还是建设银行的情况),关于护城河的争论点也在这,两派观点因角度和角色不同说的其实是两回事。 我觉得基于目前链上市场的情况对Circle估值,是一个比较安全的下限价格,这块市场大概率是保得住的,毕竟USD1、PayPal这些看起来还不错的对手并没有拿走多少USDC的份额。截至目前Circle仍然是稳定币赛道的优势一方,但对Circle上限空间的预期会调低。
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We’ve had lots of questions from our investor community looking for thoughts on OUSD, and so I thought I’d share my direct views here for anyone. Stablecoin networks are platform and network effect businesses that are established over a long period of time, tend towards winner-take-most market structures, and resemble other internet platform utility markets. There are several layers that drive this. First, stablecoin networks effectively act as public protocols and software layers on the internet and their network strength is a matter of the number and range of applications and services that integrate to the network. Every time a developer or service provider integrates to the network, it brings more network effects. This attracts more developers and adds more utility and more network effects. This then drives demand for the digital currency itself, which then reinforces these network effects through liquidity network effects. We have realized this at a massive scale with the USDC network today — thousands upon thousands of services integrate with our network, which in turn provides immense utility not just to each application, but to users as a whole who benefit massively from the reach and interoperability that exists. This drives user and developer preference further. We’ve invested in building that ecosystem over nearly a decade, and now it’s accelerating as mainstream institutions come onto the network, connecting their customers and users. We add to that utility by building software stacks that further expand and strengthen the network — protocols like CCTP and Gateway, which promote interoperability, safety and liquidity around the world. This expands the target surface area for app builders and developers, making it easy for them to tap into the liquidity and network effects that already exist. We are now seeing that stack get pulled into all kinds of chains, permissioned L2s, networks being built by governments, and so much more. The second layer is that of liquidity network effects. This is fundamental. Liquidity begets liquidity. For a stablecoin to achieve scale and utility, it needs to be highly liquid, both on a primary basis (e.g., through all the major financial market centers in the world, with world class direct banking liquidity) and on a secondary basis both by being available and tradeable for retail and institutional clients in every geography and against every fiat instrument in the world. People who want to access and move value need to be able to easily get in and out of that digital currency. Here, we’ve invested nearly a decade in building out that liquidity, and it is now entrenched in exchanges, DeFI venues, and with PSPs, payments firms, regional exchanges, and so many others. Establishing these liquidity network effects also involves building global regulatory infrastructure and ensuring that the stablecoin is available under various regimes around the world. Today, USDC is in the top 3 most liquid digital assets in the world, and it falls off sharply after that. BTC, USDT and USDC have extraordinary liquidity. The closest other dollar stables are like 10x smaller and that liquidity tends to be concentrated in promotional books in a single exchange, whereas USDC liquidity is dispersed widely across dozens and dozens of surfaces. Building this liquidity has been a nearly decade-long task that we continue. A third layer of network strength comes from the deep integration with the policy and regulatory environment — in many cases, years of effort to build licensing (e.g., USDC is the only large global stablecoin currently available in all of Europe or Japan), and more regimes for stablecoins are coming online, with Circle leading the way in ensuring that USDC is officially recognized, registered, licensed and accepted in the most important markets in the world. On the back of this is the work of building global banking, reserve management and treasury and liquidity management that can operate this on a nearly 24/7 basis in markets and banking systems globally. This globalization effort is a massive investment that we have made over the years. All of these investments by Circle and our global ecosystem of thousands of partners have delivered the net result of providing the world’s most trusted and available digital dollar infrastructure—a utility that any user, developer, or business can freely and easily tap into. And we do not intend to slow down. All of this compounds and shows in the numbers. In Q1 2026, according to third-party analysts (Artemis) who track stablecoin adoption, USDC handled nearly $30T in onchain transactions, representing 80% of all dollar stablecoin transactions on blockchains. USDT handled the remaining 20% of transactions. All of the combined remaining dollar stablecoins handled a total of 0% of transactions (i.e., < 0.5%). While other stablecoins may have some circulation, most of that is through promotions and incentives, the actual usage is extremely limited—because of the extremely limited liquidity and network utility that exists for these coins. But my thoughts on the competitive landscape are not just about the strength of our network—there are also considerations around any new initiative. Several perspectives and positioning have been shared about how something like OUSD improves on something like USDC. 1) Free mint and burn. The argument suggests that existing stablecoins charge burn fees, and payments firms should not need to pay these (despite the fact that the entire payment industry is built on small bps fees on various ingress and egress points on their networks). There are structural market realities built around the fact that some stablecoins impose very large redemption fees and have limited redemption facilities – the impact of this is that stablecoins with strong redemption facilities, good liquidity and no fees become the offramp for their competitor stablecoins. It may seem easy to say one will offer unlimited and free redeems, however market reality likely forces other behavior. This can be addressed – and is addressed by Circle – through contractual mechanisms vs. a blanket fee exemption. 2) Everybody wins and shares. While this sounds good in principle, the reality of the market and market opportunity is quite different. Today, Circle shares the majority of its income with its distribution partners, and we continue to lean hard into expanding those partnerships with leading companies across every sector of the market. However, we also retain significant income that allows us to invest in the massive market infrastructure that makes this such a powerful and valuable utility for the world to build on. Giving away all the income is a recipe for starving an infrastructure, systematically underinvesting and ensuring that your platform will remain limited in scope. Furthermore, Circle believes that the future stablecoin market is likely several orders of magnitude larger than it is today. We’re actively bringing partners into the USDC ecosystem through a diverse and growing set of partnership models that span our work with exchanges, custodians, payments firms, asset issuers and more. We are excited to continue to build with a “big tent mentality” where the entire ecosystem can grow value together. 3) A consortium where everybody has a voice. Perhaps I have a cynical view, but the track record of consortium products achieving scale, P/M Fit or even basic product agility is absolutely dismal, and while there are examples of financial consortia that operate utilities, they are predictably slow moving. Large groups of large companies coordinate poorly, have misaligned incentives, slow things down and rarely create the space for real durable innovation and competitiveness. They also typically, out of their own self-interest, starve the consortium itself on an operating basis. We actually tried this in the early days of USDC, and even with a very small group, ran into endless challenges and complexity. Smaller, tighter strategic collaborations and commercial partnership arrangements with product and platform builders that can drive forward independently will almost always outcompete large consortiums. But oftentimes when these get formed, everyone feels like they should put their logo on the list, kiss the ring, and make noise about openness. But typically those same firms will turn to their operating units and make the best decisions for their customers, which often means partnering with the market leader and building durable win-win partnerships. There’s also been a bunch of commentary on Circle's partnership with Coinbase and what this all means. Our stablecoin partnership with Coinbase remains as strong as ever, and I think we both see that enormous opportunity ahead to expand the USDC network. A final comment: Circle remains committed to supporting a wide range of different products and infrastructures, even when we might compete with different aspects of those partners’ products in other areas of our business. With OUSD, we work closely with many of the founding members, and we expect that those same members will remain large USDC partners and customers. At the same time, as Circle has diversified our product and platform stack, expanding across Arc, CCTP, CPN, StableFX, Agent Stack and many other areas, we continue to expand the partnerships and collaboration with many other stablecoin issuers — dozens of them — to help them launch on Arc, leverage our interoperability infrastructure, get supported in our Wallets and become settlement and FX options on CPN and StableFX. We are huge believers in growth in the stablecoin ecosystem and welcome OUSD as a new member of the community!
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继之前的Ethlabs,以太坊的第二个独立组织成立了,Ethereum Institutional,专注于帮助大型机构进入以太坊生态。 由Sharplink, Bitmine, Joe Lubin提供支持。 相比Ethlabs专注技术,这个组织更倾向于营销。
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1/ Announcing Ethereum Institutional An independent non-profit dedicated to accelerating the institutional adoption of Ethereum, its L2s, applications and overall ecosystem.
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我觉得现在看稳定币部署到哪条链,已经不能算是一个有用的指标了。 稳定币部署权从来不是稀缺的。 这就像最早贝莱德部署BUIDL一样,市场刚开始会对它青睐哪条链感到兴奋,但最后发现只要有人的链,它基本都会去部署。 事实是,机构要的是只是用户,也许这可以作为活链/鬼链的分界线, 但绝对不是 评估一条公链的主要指标。 我们需要再进一层,部署到这条链上之后,有没有持续的量和真实的交易活动,这才是一个长期有效的观测指标,USDC已经部署到30多条链了,但实际有用的有多少条,市场是心中有数的,发行量只会集中在有经济活动和用户的几条链上。 USDT的数据会更直观,tron上USDT发行量有接近900亿美金,ethereum上接近800亿,plasma上线后只薅走了一根毫毛,10亿美金。 如果说部署权,从机构角度出发,什么链也不如自己发条链(自己能不能做成,有风险),但如果一条链上有大量用户,机构就会去到那里,这是稀缺的,也是在机构采用上现有公链最大的价值。
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Visa、Stripe、Mastercard、BlackRock,还有140家企业加入,发行了一个新的稳定币Open USD,涉及各个领域的巨头。对Circle和USDC的考验来了。 $CRCL
Introducing Open USD: a stablecoin built for the internet economy, designed by the businesses growing it.
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1.5亿的USDS流动性迁移到了Uniswap,Uniswap和Curve的稳定币交易拉锯战中,Sky走到了Uniswap这边,目前PYUSD、USDS、USDT的Pool已经全部从Curve LP撤出。 未来围绕USDS将在Uniswap v4建立一个Stablecoin FX Layer,那么等于说以后Sky系统所有的稳定币流动性都将部署在这里。 分析下这套系统: 目前USDS相关的流动性部署在普通池子中,未来会开发一个hook,实现智能管理资金,正常情况下这些资金在Spark上赚取收益,只有在需要交易时才部署流动性,放在计算预设好的区间里,交易完成后立即移除临时流动性,结算交易,并将剩余资产 + 手续费在同一区块内返还到Spark。 所以这套东西很可能是由Spark Liquidity Layer控制,变成SLL操作的一部分。 卷到极致的低费率,因为对Sky来说它有铸币权,USDS LP本身不需要把赚钱放在首位,甚至它也可以单独向稳定币发行商收取服务费,而不是去征收链上的费用,这一点优势是巨大的,低费率会吸收更多的聚合器把交易路由到这,而更高的交易量证明这项服务的成功,它们可以向更多机构来展示和扩展市场。 这个FX Layer,本质上一个共享的流动性层,USDS最终目标是作为一个中介的角色,与USDS组成LP来聚合不同的稳定币,把孤立的小池子,变成一个大池子,越多的USDS Pair,则证明它越成功。
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Introducing the Stablecoin FX Layer. Every bank, fintech and payment provider is launching stablecoins. But every new stablecoin fragments liquidity. Today, Spark introduces the Stablecoin FX Layer, built on @Uniswap v4, a shared liquidity infrastructure that allows stablecoins to access shared liquidity instead of building isolated pools. The initial deployment brings approximately $150M of liquidity to Uniswap v4 across the first USDS/PYUSD and USDS/USDT pools. This is just the beginning. Learn more:
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CoinDesk的报道中,交易细节是Kraken投入约7100万美元,获得15% Aave Group的股权和25万枚AAVE代币,将Aave的整体估值定为3.85亿美金。 这个方案目前被Aave Labs否定了,但Stani表达出来的意思,似乎确实有机构在谈判购买Aave Labs手中的AAVE代币,这是真的。
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传言Kraken要以3.8亿美元的估值收购 solana:AavE1kKKnesPw4MuRJmJ9jZs9QzEE8CPxQ3ViczUDfc1 15%的份额,但目前Aave的二级市场估值是13亿美金,这相当于3折买币,有点离谱.... 随后Stani反驳了这个说法,并宣布正在制定新的代币经济学Aavenomics 3.0
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Morpho上第一个隐私借贷Vault,由zama cUSDC支持,在不暴露仓位和资金流动的情况下在defi中赚取收益,这就是合规隐私在defi中的应用案例。 这个vault的运作方式是,如果你从zama app上存款,USDC会自动Shield成cUSDC(当然你也可以直接存cUSDC), 然后系统会24小时批处理一次, 更新用户的vault shares,公开可见的数据是每个批次更新出来的增量/减量,个人用户的金额、存取款时间都是隐私保密的。另外morpho的策略参数、抵押品支持,这些也是公开的,这样既满足了某些用户不想被追踪和监控仓位的需求,也保留了必要的defi透明度,以应对风控监测和审计。 未来zama有计划升级成原生保密的ERC-4626,这样也就省掉批处理这个动作了,实现用内部净额结算。目前基础收益是3.6%,可关注未来有12周的激励计划,前两周最高,后续逐渐递减。
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The Steakhouse Confidential Prime USDC Vault on @Morpho is now live. Deposit confidential USDC (cUSDC) into the @SteakhouseFi-curated vault to earn yield by lending against blue-chip collateral, while keeping individual positions confidential onchain.
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Ethlabs这大概就是最接近 以太坊第二基金会 的组织,Bitmine+Sharplink+Joe Lubin,社区成员囊括了大部分还活跃的以太坊生态项目。 这个组织会更加专注于生态研发和执行,在前沿需求和协议层之间起到一个桥接作用,推进机构采用,生态创新,而EF则专注于技术路线,两者相互补充。
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crypto距离几万亿的资产上链,缺的已经不是技术了,未来2-4年是一个关键的窗口期。 技术上,Base推了一个B20标准,专门为机构合规设计的,实际上以太坊上也有类似的东西,比如ERC-3643,还有一些协议层在做这个事(贝莱德的BUIDL通过Securitize发行),机构的选择非常之多。 几乎所有人都认为 这是一个确定的趋势,但目前距离多家机构预测的上万亿市场,还有特别特别远。对于机构来说,是否有足够的动力去上链,上链的成本、合规成本能否降到足够低,风险是否清晰可控,都是还未完全解决的问题。 如果在未来2-4年能够打通这些问题,这个数字还是有希望的。那么能够承载这些资产的公链,还有一次爆发的机会。
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Base Beryl will bring new tokenization capabilities B20 - the Base-native token standard - upgrades the experience With faster, cheaper, and structured settlement Enabling global financial assets to live on Base as programmable capital with the benefits of onchain composibility
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渣打银行对 ethereum:0x1f9840a85d5af5bf1d1762f925bdaddc4201f984 的报告,明显上头了。它设定UNI上涨37倍的前提是未来有一天传统资产大规模代币化,流入DeFi的资产可达到2.7万亿,而目前DeFi全网的总TVL是740亿,27000/740=37 .... 原来是这么算的😂
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@Cyrusnothing 同样适用于 今天很多不被看好的赛道
BitGo打通了一条新的机构资金进入链上的渠道。它可能成为Spark、Aave等资金池借贷与Morpho竞争机构市场的重要途径。 机构客户可以在不把资产转出合格托管钱包的情况下,直接访问链上协议,并通过Narval做交易解析、白名单校验和机构审批流。 过去机构想参与DeFi, 实际操作上会面临很多困难,比如 需要把资产从合格托管钱包转出进入自托管钱包,没有解析交易、审批交易的成熟方案,结果就是它们的风控、审计、合规流程都不允许它们随便把资产转出进行这些交易。 因为机构的操作模式与散户完全不一样,散户只需要自托管钱包,自己签名交易。而机构需要托管账户、白名单、审计记录、权限分级,它有自己的流程。 现在这套方案,集成了我们熟悉的Spark、Aave,目的是让机构在原有托管、审批、审计和合规框架内直接操作DeFi。 在DeFi前端连接BitGo钱包后,每笔交易在签名前都会被解析成可读内容,并根据白名单校验,再进入BitGo的审批流程。Narval在这里扮演的角色则是审计员,它会在交易签名前做解析和白名单校验,把交易calldata、目标合约、函数、参数解析成人能看懂的内容,并检查是否在批准的协议和合约白名单里,同时校验是否有钓鱼和恶意合约的风险。 这个方案是可复制的,大大降低了机构进入链上借贷市场的难度。目前受益最大的就是Spark和Aave,原本它们在与Morpho的机构市场竞争中处于劣势(因为Morpho可以支持机构主导的自定义Vault),这种通道极大提升了它们的竞争力。
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富途旗下Moomoo接入Hyperliquid链上永续合约行情数据,永续合约确实是Crypto最伟大的发明之一。 Hyperliquid则是好的产品,好的团队,同时赶上了最好的时代。很难想象在4年前,Perps dex还是一个被定义是伪需求的赛道,所以很多曾经天马行空的故事,未来还有机会。
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ve33大概率将退出历史舞台,Aerodrome在7月要上线的新版本对ve33的几项改进都是极具针对性的。 Aerodrome指出的ve33存在的最大问题就是滞后性,池激励每周投票更新一次,且投票趋势都是基于历史表现,比如上周Pool A的表现好,那么投票多数在下周还会集中在A,这对于新Pool非常不友好, 对某个新Pool的爆发潜力也是基本感知不到的。 新的设计取消了vetoken,改成sAERO(可随时转移了),取消了epoch每周投票这个设定,而是可以随时调整投票。AERO 奖励也是以streaming的形式连续发放到Pool gauge,同时fee也是实时积累返给sAERO,看起来改动不大,但实际上Pool、LP、holder三者的关系发生了巨大变化。 原来的设计,投票和激励获得都是有滞后性的(1周),而手握票权的veAERO,想要获得更多的fee分成,那么就要判断未来表现好的Pool,在老机制里,这基本是没什么办法的,只能去选历史表现好的Pool,因为你即使判断下周有一个新Pool会爆发,你去押注它的性价比也极低,这1周的窗口期选错就会损失大部分收益,基本没有人会去做这种前瞻性的预测,而是不停的追数据好的Pool,一旦一个Pool成为“历史赢家”,它会持续吃排放,即使用户开始怀疑它未来会变差,也很难快速切换(1周的硬性周期),明显这对于新Pool来说不友好。 把epoch改掉之后,灵活性大大提升,预测正确后的放大效应更强,预测错误后的止损速度也更快,这会让整体资本配置效率更高。 进一步思考,这种实时、可动态调整的设计天然更适合 AI Agent 进行自动化决策和频繁调仓,这也是Aerodrome一直在做的适合AI接入的dex这样一个故事,原来的vetoken模型则是很难的。
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无限续杯策略,用 WLFI 烧钱补贴,USD1在Binance的激励已经连续5期了,新一期限制2000美金额度内10.5%年化。链上的收益也没断过,同样保持在11%左右。
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@youyou5202 品牌积累和先发优势都还在