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hyperliquid:native 新高后,「HYPE 版微策略」$PURR 的股票值得考虑吗? 首先需要明确的是,PURR 不是一家有实际业务的公司,其业务模式就是买 hyperliquid:native、质押 hyperliquid:native、持有 hyperliquid:native 。 截止 2026 年 4 月,公司持有约 2000 万枚 hyperliquid:native,另有约 1.13 亿美元现金,零债务,股票的全部价值取决于 hyperliquid:native 的价格。 CT 英文区的讨论认为,这家公司用约 2.2 亿美元买入 hyperliquid:native,目前浮盈接近 10 亿美元,资本效率甚至超过了 Michael Saylor 的 Strategy 在 $BTC 上的盈利效率。 这个比较在数字上没问题,但逻辑上有误导性。 PURR 的早期 hyperliquid:native 持仓成本约 7 美元,随着 hyperliquid:native 新高,涨了近 9 倍。Strategy 的 $BTC 平均成本约 7.5 万美元, $BTC 现在也在这个价位附近,几乎没涨。 所以浮盈更高不是因为公司做了什么更聪明的操作,纯粹是底层资产涨幅不在一个量级。任何人在同一时间直接买 hyperliquid:native 现货,回报率一模一样,还不用承担股权稀释风险。 对于今天才关注 $PURR 的投资者来说,更实际的问题是:现在买入,相对于公司持有的 hyperliquid:native 价值,是溢价还是折价? PURR 目前持有 2080 万枚 hyperliquid:native,加上 1.14 亿美元现金,净资产约 13.4 亿美元。按已发行的 1.346 亿股算,每股 NAV 约 9.98 美元,当前股价折价约 23%。但公司刚注册了 3516 万股新增发,如果全部执行,每股 NAV 降到 7.07 美元,股价反而变成轻微溢价。 $PURR 到底是「便宜」还是「贵」,取决于你认为未来的稀释会有多大。 谁需要 $PURR ? 美国的退休金账户(IRA、401k)、传统券商账户、以及合规要求严格的机构资金,没办法直接持有加密资产,而且 Hyperliquid 平台前端明确限制美国居民使用。 $PURR 提供的是一个纳斯达克上市的股票包装,让这些资金通过标准股票交易获得 hyperliquid:native 敞口。Paradigm 搭的这个壳,本质上卖的就是这个合规通道。 这家公司成立只有半年,还没有经历过一个完整的下行周期,管理层在极端环境下会怎么操作,没有历史记录可以参考。 你要做的判断是看不看好 hyperliquid:native,而不是看不看好 这个壳。
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负薪者冻毙于途,卖浆者渴死于道。织锦者身着粗布,种粮者食不果腹 今天和一个OG见完面之后,这四句话跃然纸上,也是无数仍然活跃在 Web3 一线的从业者的心声。我转发了一年多前我作为吹哨人给行业写的推,虽然预测对了结果,但这不是任何从业者想要的结果。没有人想过这件事会发生。但它正在发生。没有人愿意发声。所以我来斗胆发声。 引子 这周在上海,去了 Sun 在虹桥做的 MuShanghai。 整整一个月的活动,分了 4 个主题周——biotech、AI、culture、robotics。全球 2000 多人报名,最后筛了 800 多人到现场,从 Stanford 创业者,到前 OpenAI 工程师、YC、HF0、Frontier Tower 的 Jacob。Sun 和 Sunny 三个人加上一个二十人的志愿者组,干了一件全中国可能只有他们能干的事——把签证、国际网络、政府关系全部打通,做出了一个真正意义上的 global gateway。光这一点,已经值得行业每一个人给他们鼓掌。这是从 crypto 社区走向多元化社区最成功的一个团队。 但走完几圈,我心里的感受是复杂的。现场接近一半的参会者是 crypto 背景的人。他们身上贴的新标签是 biotech founder、AI agent builder、robotics 创业者、文化策展人。有些人是真的在探索下一段旅程,有些人是在体面地准备离开 crypto。这是这个行业的人正在展开的一场伟大的自救——以一种我从来没见过的方式。 正文 1/ 这两年我比任何时候都更悲观,但也比任何时候更不愿意放弃 最近见了很多人,听了很多事。这个行业的问题已经不是熊市的问题,是整个生态系统的正反馈机制坏了。 我把这些零散的观察、对话、反思整理出来。不是吐槽,是希望更多人一起把这件事扛起来。 2/ "小概率坏事件"正在批量发生 我最近在读概率论。我们这些老人都习惯用周期去理解市场——上个周期有 alt season,这个周期也会有。但今年所有原本被低估的小概率事件正在同时发生: 中国 Web3 大开发者,50–60% 流向了 AI。走的人基本不会再回来 几千个项目融了上百亿美金,没几个真正出圈的应用 华尔街、特朗普、主权基金把比特币拿走,原生 builder 的位置越来越窄 美国基金募资发展蓬勃,亚洲生态系统遇到生存危机,创业者流血上币离场,投资人退场 不是周期没来,是这一代周期的剧本和过去完全不同了。 3/ 关于以太坊:我不悲观,但我担心 以太坊的改革已经到了刻不容缓的时候。 过去最好的几个时间窗口——21 年的牛市、22 年的转折——本来是推动应用创新、做出超级应用的最佳时机,行业内最大的注意力、最多的钱、最优秀的人才都聚集在那个窗口里。但当时的方向押在了 ZK、L2 这些技术叙事上。技术方向本身没有错,错的是在大众市场最该出现大众产品的时间点上,把所有的资源堆到了小众的方向。 现在到了熊市,再想推一个超级应用出来,比那两年难十倍。 以太坊价格的疲软,本质上是整个 Web3 的疲软。因为以太坊承载了行业最多的资本、最多的人才、最多的注意力。它能不能再次起来,关乎几百万从业者的未来。 4/ Vitalik 可能正生活在一个巨大的信息茧房里 我最近一个很强的感受是:围绕 Vitalik 的人,大多不敢直接告诉他行业有多艰难、以太坊真实的困境在哪里。 利益寻租的群体越来越多,小圈子和圈层文化越来越严重。新的方向、新的机会出来,往往沿着原有那个圈子的纽带向外延伸。普通社区、普通从业者,很难有机会和 Vitalik 正常交流、反馈意见。社区的不满和抱怨被层层过滤,被拒之门外。 这不是某个人的错。是一个组织在快速膨胀到 200+ 人之后,反馈机制没有跟上。但温水煮青蛙的代价,最后会落在每一个还在这个生态里 build 的人身上。 5/ 从业者没有正反馈,社会和下一代似乎都不认可 这是这一代从业者最真实的共同处境,跨越地理: 中国,行业被定位为灰产,常常和传销绑在一起;香港,因为一连串交易所跑路事件,从业者默认被当骗子;新加坡,crypto 被认为是不入流的行业;美国,相比 AI 创业者,crypto 从业者几乎没有社交身份。 我听到从业者说他上高中的孩子不愿意学钱包私钥,认为他父亲做的事业拿不上台面。许多创始人作为家长不敢在学校家长会说自己做什么。下一代根本不觉得这是一个值得参与的事业。 当一个行业连"我从事它"这件事都说不出口,它的接班人问题就不再是抽象的,是迫在眉睫的。 6/ 接班人问题正在到来 以太坊第一代核心开发者大多组建了家庭、有了孩子。这是非常自然的人生阶段,没办法像十年前那样一天写十几个小时的代码。 但下一代在哪里? 我们尝试过:高校的研究生博士生、Web2 大厂的工程师、早期社区的极客。可是在 AI 这么蓬勃的时代,我们拿什么留住他们?比特大陆和字节当年同时招应届生,薪资差不多——10 年后股权回报差了几千万。这一代年轻人看着上一代的结局,凭什么会选 crypto 而不是 AI? 而且我们不只是要留住下一代,还要和 AI 直接抢人才。Solana、以太坊、AI 实验室、机器人公司在同一个池子里捞人。crypto 一线项目给的 package 已经很难再有竞争力。 接班人不会自己长出来。它需要系统性的培养:crypto school、研究 grant、开发者基金、长期 mentor 机制。Paradigm、a16z、AllianceDAO、ResearchHub 在做。中文区也必须有人做。 7/ 对 Vitalik 的一点期待 我想用鼓励的方式说这件事,因为攻击没意义。 Vitalik 是这个行业最有影响力的创业者。他不只是首席科学家,他是行业方向的灯塔。在以太坊最关键的转型期,他需要重新回归创业一线。不是回到 2014 年的他,是带着这些年的反思、回归创业初心的他。 熊市是最适合 build 出下一代产品的时机。他需要把核心开发者、社区、第二代年轻人重新凝聚起来,一起朝着下一个 10 年迈进。 他周围必须有能直接告诉他真实情况的人。 8/ 中美 OG 的分岔:生态系统的造血能力 去年我写过《不要让赌场吞噬大教堂》,对比过这两条路径。今天必须再说一次: 中国创业团队的融资环境极其严峻。亚洲市场化基金 90% 处于水深火热。这意味着亚洲 Web3 生态没有造血能力。一旦顶尖的几支基金撑不住,整个生态系统就会塌方。 中美 OG 在拿到行业第一桶金之后的选择差异,今天看格外刺眼。美国的 OG 大多还在建设——Rune、Hayden、胡安这一批人,是在持续把财富回投到生态。中国的 OG,大多数赚到钱之后选择套现离场,一部分转去投资 AI,更少的人在做真正的下一代建设。 这不是道德指责。我希望中国 OG 在得到行业恩惠之后,能够回头帮助新一代年轻人。建立一个完善的生态系统、形成正反馈循环,是这个行业活下去的唯一方式。 9/ 从业者怎么活下来 大部分web3公司和机构会在接下来AI浪潮和悲观行情下继续裁员30%以上,因此活下来比什么都重要。 讲完体系问题,回到个人。我自己也在这个泥潭里,所以我想分享几点。 找到合理性。 你为什么还在这里?不是为了 token 价格,不是为了 KOL 流量。是因为你相信这件事,是因为你过去得到过这个行业的恩惠,是因为你的团队和投资人需要你。把这个"为什么"想清楚,剩下的事会有方向。 让工作和生活充实。 行业的低气压会渗透到每一天的情绪。不要让 token 价格定义你的自我价值。多读书、多见线下的朋友、多花时间陪家人、做一些和市场无关的事情。这是熊市最重要的功课。 直面困难,但别让失望发酵成放弃。 现在社区的情绪不是"危机感",是"失望"。这两个词的区别是——危机感意味着想改变,失望意味着想放弃。要努力让自己留在前者。 学新东西。 我自己也在学 AI。这周在 MuShanghai 看到那么多 crypto 从业者贴上新标签去探索 biotech、AI、robotics,我心里其实是感动的。能力到了我们就能选,能力不到只能被选。Web3 仍然是 IOSG 最重要的业务,我们不会放弃。当然这不影响我用AI来武装和提高我们的工作流和加强我们的武器。 找到自己的小联盟和信心小团体。 5、6 位/家经过历史验证、风格成熟的朋友/机构深度结盟。教育、资金、人才网络,缺什么补什么。自救比等救世主重要。 学会和自己和解。 这一点我自己也还在练习。这个市场没有奖励那些做正确事情的人,奖励了一批骗子,奖励了一批投机者。这个事实是真的。但你做这件事的意义,不应该被市场定价。允许自己在熊市里失败、允许自己情绪低落、允许自己做一些"看起来没有产出"的事情。这不是放弃,是为下一段旅程蓄力。 10/ 我们需要更多灯塔 行业最缺的不是钱,不是技术,是灯塔。 不是只有 Vitalik 一个人需要做灯塔。每一个还留在这里、还相信这件事的人,都可以成为灯塔——给一个困惑的年轻 founder 三十分钟、给一个 runway 见底的团队一份 grant、给一个被裁员的工程师一份 referral、写一篇真诚的反思而不是华丽的 narrative。 每一束光照得不远。但加在一起,就是黑暗中那些还在前行的人不放弃的理由。 像 Sun 这样的人在做。像老胡这样的人在每个月默默给一笔钱支持那些非主流的探索。每一个人都在自己能做的事上努力着。 11/ 写给每个看到这条内容的人 如果你是 OG:行业给过你的,请回头给一份给下一代。不是几百万的大手笔,是一个 mailing list、一份 referral、一笔直接打给市场化基金管理人、一份给到困境创业者的 EIR 资助。年轻一代需要的是相信"build 这件事还值得做"。 如果你是 founder:不要孤军奋战。把真实处境告诉值得信任的人。 如果你是 builder/researcher:继续 build。不是用爱发电的那种 build,是把自己的劳动换成应得回报的那种 build。让下一代相信这件事在职业意义上仍然成立。 12/ 收尾 请每一个看到这条内容的人,把它转发给你认识的 OG。让他们去照亮别人。别忘记这个行业过去给他们带来的恩惠。 呼吁更多的 OG 和行业领袖找回责任感,为行业发声,资助更多创业者,让下一代有机会继续建设 Web3——不止是用爱发电。 赌场吞不吞噬大教堂,不是 Vitalik 一个人的事,不是 EF 一个组织的事。是我们每一个还留在这里的人共同的事。 很多人问我这个周期他们如何熬下去,所有的压力推着他们离场,很多时候选择就是一步之遥,许多年轻人需要一个老OG告诉他们如何熬过熊市。但我知道,如果我们这一代人不站出来,那么下一代根本不会有“站出来”的选项。 做点是点。 写于Fig&Olive
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又收到一个Portfolio的核心开发者离开行业投身AI应用创业,行业内最有声望的个人和组织都在把注意力放在meme,说实话打好这一战又如何?AGI是历史最宏大的叙事,所有最优秀的人才只要用心观察,他们一定会被吸引。如果加密世界的大家们的目标是让更多优秀的人离开,最后让web3成为一个大赌场,那他们的成功还值得那么闪耀吗?许多创业者和开发者的目标不止是发财,他们想做出改变世界的应用,想给历史留下印记和被认可。当整个环境所有人都不去追求真正的理想和价值的时候,这些人就会离开。真的希望大家们可以更有担当一些,优秀的人在什么行业都会发光,当他们在AI届发光了,他们也就不会再回来币圈了,那个时候我们失去的不止是人才,而是币圈失落的一个时代。
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Pretty profound for an ipo filing: “For the entirety of its existence, human civilization has lived on a single celestial body: Earth. The current paradigm, in which human civilization is confined to one planet, exposes humanity to existential threats that are unpredictable and uncontrollable on a planetary scale. By moving beyond the only home we have ever known, we ensure species- level redundancy and that the light of consciousness will not be tied to a single planet subject to the inevitable hazards of a harsh and vast universe. We do not want humans to have the same fate as dinosaurs.” - SpaceX S-1 @elonmusk
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去迈阿密参加了Consensus大会,几乎没什么中国人 以下是Crypto西方的状况: 共识在哪? Zcash是美国的新共识,naval+a16z+multicoin,至于为什么我会单开一个帖子/视频来讲,估计短期不会结束 公链 - 在把Monad/megaeth 对标成当年sui/aptos双雄,钱都很多,各有优劣。谁是 - Canton的钱很多,但是圈子很难混,因为压根就不是crypto圈子,都是华尔街的人 - Upbit l2最近讨论的很多,但是大家预期普遍一般 - Tempo在币圈没什么动静,paradigm已经在玩更高维度的游戏了 - Sol在找方向,但是看起来没找到特别合适的方向 Perpdex: - Hyperliquid活动还是很火热,但是见不太到hype的人。现在美国对hype的价格有比较多的分歧,后面单独写一篇来讲 - perp dex现在是人手一个,每家交易所、每个稳定币、每个链都、每个MM都想做一个perp dex 老牌CEX: - Coinbase账上有很多钱,但是不会玩degen游戏,也不需要玩degen游戏,看不上这点钱 - Kraken很会玩,跟的很快,Nado肯定行 - OKX,Bybit,Bitget都在很努力的做美国合规市场。Bitget CEO去演讲都带保镖了,这是在美国文化里地位的象征 新的变种交易所(trading terminal交易前端): - 各种Trading terminal和ai trading的变体,Genius,vergex,tplus,liquid等 - 美国的perp快要合规了,这其实是个大机会。你们敢想象之前美国人都不能加杠杆炒币或者去做空炒币吗 DAT: - Strategy在大量搞生态项目,BTC还在加杠杆过程的早期阶段,举例就是 @saturn_credit RWA: - 接下来1-2年最重要的趋势,最近起来了大量的RWA资产,带头的是各种股票perp、startup perp VC: - 亚洲VC彻底死完了,Yzi还在积极出手(但是yzi不能算是亚洲vc),demo day搞得很好,项目还是不少的。能看到一些很好的项目,比如 @renaissxyz - 西方Crypto VC募资压力很大,a16z搞了个大的是因为他们是a16z - 其他西方VC各有各的死法,有的死在完全不会玩本周期的山寨币游戏,有的死在乱投二级乱投DAT MM - 主动MM游戏也蔓延到了西方,但是founder有坐牢风险,加上信任问题推进程度都一般 - 很多合规的被动MM目光都在转向预测市场 挖了很多的坑,之后准备做视频来讲内容了,表现力更好也说得更明白
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President Xi Jinping held talks with U.S. President Donald J. Trump. President Xi noted that transformation not seen in a century is accelerating across the globe, and the international situation is fluid and turbulent. The world has come to another crossroads. Can China and the United States overcome the Thucydides Trap and create a new paradigm of major-country relations? Can we meet global challenges together and provide greater stability for the world? Can we build a bright future together for our bilateral relations in the interest of the well-being of the two peoples and the future of humanity? These are the questions vital to history, to the world, and to the people. They are the questions of our times that the leaders of major countries need to answer together. President Xi stressed that the two countries have more common interests than differences, success in one is an opportunity for the other, and a stable bilateral relationship is good for the world. We should be partners, not rivals. We should help each other succeed and prosper together, and find the right way for major countries to get along well with each other in the new era. I look forward to our discussions on major issues important to our two countries and the world, and working together with you to set the course and steer the giant ship of China-U.S. relations, so as to make 2026 a historic, landmark year that opens up a new chapter in China-U.S. relations.
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Dear ICP community, the Internet Computer has now been running strong for 5 years 👏👏👏 Here is a celebratory preview of ICP "cloud engines," the sovereign frontier cloud technology the network shall soon provide from Main points: — Cloud engines enable anyone to spin up their own sovereign frontier cloud. The technology involves an extraordinary inventive step, in which cloud is created from a mathematically secure network of nodes. The nodes run as part of the Internet Computer network ( but are selected and configured by the cloud engine's owner. — The frontier cloud provided by engines is strongly focused on enabling AI agents to build and update online applications and services for us. The world is changing fast, and nearly all new online apps and services are already being built with the help of AI, and thus cloud engines target the future of cloud. — Software hosted on cloud engines is tamperproof, which means that it is immune to infrastructure hacks, because it runs inside a mathematically secure network protocol, rather than on computers directly. This means that AI agents, and those building with them, don't need to have a security team in the loop, or to trust someone else's security team. This is crucial, because in the future, non technical people will demand the freedom to build with full automation — where they just need to issue instructions to AI about what to build, and don't need to worry about anything or anyone else. Of course, apps and services running on engines are also vastly safer from the new breed of hacker being enabled by frontier AI. (The cloud engines themselves are also "tamperproof." Even if a hacker gains physical access to some portion of a cloud engine's nodes, and can make arbitrary changes, the computations and data of the hosted apps and services cannot be corrupted or interrupted so long as the network's fault bounds aren't exceeded. The recent hack of Vercel, a major cloud platform, which gave hackers access to the apps it hosted, provides additional perspective on the importance of this advantage.) — Software hosted on cloud engines is guaranteed to run, so long as a sufficient number of the engine's nodes are running. This means that AI can build applications and services without the need to have a human systems admin team constantly tinkering with the underlying platform to keep it running, which is again crucial, because in the future, non technical people will expect the freedom to use AI to build without the support of others. — New frontier programming language technology, in the form of the Motoko language developed by Caffeine Labs, leverages seminal "orthogonal persistence" technology that unifies program logic and data to deliver further unlocks for AI (Motoko is the first computer language being developed that targets agents that are writing software rather than humans engineers per se). Nowadays, AI can build and update production apps at a prodigious rate, even at the speed of conversation. But it can also make mistakes, and there's a risk that an update it creates might be "lossy" in the sense it causes some transformed data to be lost. Again, in this new world, it's both undesirable and impractical for everyone to have to have a systems admin team on-hand to detect lossy updates and roll them back, but Motoko provides a solution: it can detect new software updates are lossy before they are applied, reducing potentially catastrophic errors by AI to harmless coding retries. — Software hosted on cloud engines is "serverless" but unlike traditional serverless software, directly it directly incorporates data through "orthogonal persistence." Another key purpose is simplify backend software logic and fuel the modeling power of AI by increasing abstraction (sorry for the technical language!!!). Put simply, this enables AI to produce more sophisticated backends, faster, and at dramatically lower costs, as measured by the number AI API tokens consumed during coding. (Tip for the technical: orthogonal persistence is a new paradigm where "the program is the database," and data lives inside program variables, which is possible because it's as if hosted software runs forever in persistent memory). — An expanding database of skills at shall make it possible to develop and directly deploy apps and services to your cloud engines directly from Claude Code, Perplexity, Codex and other AI platforms. Further, your account on can be connected, so that new apps and updates created through conversation automatically appear hosted from your cloud engine. In the future, R&D is going to be very seamless. You converse with AI, and your secure and unstoppable apps or services are created or updated. Cloud engines are designed to directly support this "self-writing cloud" future where we can work hands-free. — Tech sovereignty is becoming a huge issue worldwide, with governments and corporations seeking to create sovereign tech stacks owing to geopolitical tensions. Increasingly, people are realizing that tech provided by foreign nations can come with hidden backdoors and kills switches, from the base platform, right up through hosted apps and services. ICP technology is open source, and those building on ICP using AI own their own source code. When you have the source code, you can verify that there are no backdoors, and when you own the source code thanks to AI, you can update it at will, freeing you from vendor lock-in. But cloud engines take sovereignty much further... — You create a cloud engine by selecting the nodes that will be combined. You can choose the class of nodes used, and their number, but more importantly, you can choose who operates the nodes, and where they are located. Almost any configuration is possible, because the Internet Computer scales the security privileges afforded to hosted software within the network according to configuration (software hosted on cloud engines can directly interoperate with software on other engines and traditional subnets, but base restrictions are applied according to security rules). A cloud engine can be created within a region such as Europe, to comply with regs such as GDPR, or completely within a sovereign state like Switzerland or Pakistan. But cloud engines go further still... — Sovereignty is also about freedom from vendor lock-in. Cloud engines are essentially ICP (Internet Computer Protocol) network configurations, and this means the underlying compute nodes they combine can be swapped out without interrupting their hosted apps and services. This is a big deal. In addition, cloud engines now support nodes that are instances running on Big Tech's clouds, in addition to nodes that are dedicated specialized hardware, as per the Gen I and Gen II nodes that dominate the Internet Computer today. For example, it is possible to have an engine running across different AWS data centers, say, and then reconfigure the engine to run across a mixture of AWS, Google, Azure and Hetzner for even more resilience, without the users of hosted apps and services noticing a thing. That's true freedom. — Sovereign AI is becoming increasingly important too, and cloud engines allow special "AI nodes" to be added to them, so that hosted software can perform inference on hardware provisioned by the owner from a location the owner has selected. Even though the AI nodes are only accessible within the cloud engine, they can still benefit from the forthcoming Internet Intelligence Gateway (IG), which will make it possible to validate inference performed on key frontier open weights LLMs, even when the inference is performed on completely independent AI clouds. When the results of inference are received, this technology can verify that neither the prompt+context (input) nor the inference result (output) have been modified, and that the results were produced by the precise LLM expected. This ensures that AI clouds don't cheat by running inference on cheaper models than are being paid for, and bad actors aren't modifying the inputs or outputs to surreptitiously insert advertising into results, say, or change facts, or insert malware when code is being generated. What's super cool about this technology is the cost of the verification is scalable. A very valuable additional security can be achieved with only 1-2% of extra cost. — Scaling apps and services when they hit capacity limits is another thorny problem that cloud engines help the world address. Engines make scaling possible without rewriting or reconfiguring software. The query workload capacity of hosted software can be horizontally scaled simply by adding new nodes to an engine, and nodes can also be added in geographical proximity to demand. Meanwhile, update workload capacity can first be scaled-up by swapping an engine's nodes out for the next class up, and then when no larger class of node is available, horizontally scaled-out by "splitting" the engine into two, which doubles available capacity. (Technical tip: horizontally scaling update capacity by splitting engines requires multi-canister architectures). — For those who have been following how Caffeine builds apps that can efficiently store large numbers of files, I should mention that apps built on cloud engines will also support the new ICP Blob Storage cloud network (since cloud engines currently have up to about 3 TB of memory, which apps storing large amounts of files can easily exceed). We are also working on allowing blob storage nodes to be added to cloud engines, to enable sovereign mass blob storage within an engine, similarly to how AI nodes can be added currently. — Lastly, but certainly not least, I should mention that cloud engines are multi-blockchain capable, and ready for digital assets, thanks to the clever math at their core. For example, an e-commerce service built on a cloud engine can securely accept and custody stablecoin payments, or a multi-chain DEX could be hosted. Further, engines can support software autonomy (software orchestrated and controlled by other autonomous software, in a decentralized way) and can themselves be orchestrated by SNS technology, and thus run autonomously too. Today, though, the focus is on *mainstream* cloud. This year, the cloud industry will generate approximately one trillion dollars in revenue. That number is already huge, but is expected to grow to two trillion dollars by 2030. After years of continuous development, which have seen more than $500m spent on R&D, the Internet Computer network is now tacking directly toward this mainstream cloud market with cloud engine technology. In their first version, cloud engines are not meant to be a cloud panacea. For example, currently they are not ideal for working with big data. You should use something like DataBricks for that. Cloud engines are carefully targeted at enabling AI to produce traditional online applications and services, including SaaS, in a safer and more productive way, which represents a new market segment with tremendous potential. Of course, DFINITY will continue to work relentlessly to push forward ICP's capabilities, so expect further developments. It's worth mentioning that this cloud segment isn't just about creating new apps and services using AI, it's also about replacing legacy systems and apps built on super expensive SaaS services. Caffeine Labs is working to produce technology (Caffeine Snorkel) that can study an enterprise's legacy systems and app built on SaaS, create replacement systems and apps, and migrate the data, while supporting key stakeholders through the process over email and chat, with full automation. Thus the legacy systems and SaaS markets shall also be addressed by cloud engines. Zooming out, and reasoning in a more metaphysical way, we believe, as we always have, that there is room for a new kind of cloud created by mathematical networks, that provides seminal advances in the fields of security and resilience, as well as true sovereignty and freedom from lock-in. That this same technology, with the help of additional technologies like orthogonal persistence and Motoko, enables AI to build for us without the need for so much oversight, and to create more backend sophistication while consuming fewer AI API tokens, enables ICP to bring game-changing advances to the world. Cloud engines will work synergistically with the Intelligence Gateway, which will enable apps and services running on engines to seamlessly leverage AI, wherever that AI is running, while providing verifiability at extremely low cost for open weights frontier models. We believe that cloud engines represent an inflection point in the storied history of the Internet Computer project, and I'm very proud to be sharing the details with you on the network's fifth birthday 💪 I'll be back with more news soon!!
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Codex grew programmatic policies with no neural nets: max score on Breakout, and SOTA-level scores on MuJoCo. Maybe heuristics were not too weak. Maybe they were just too expensive to maintain. Maybe it's the next paradigm.
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Imagine if your OpenClaw could seamlessly interact with on-chain agents. 🤯 We aren't just talking about automation; we are unlocking a completely new economic paradigm where AI entities have their own autonomous economy. 🤖💰 Pan Network is moving fast and building at the bleeding edge of the latest AI tech. The future of on-chain AI is happening right here on @BNBCHAIN. ⚡️ Huge things are coming. Stay tuned. Stay with Pan. 🚀 #OpenClaw# #AIAgents# #BNBChain# #PanNetwork# #Web3AI#
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If you're wondering whether saturating ARC-AGI-1 or 2 means we have AGI now... I refer you to what I said when we launched ARC-AGI-2 last year (which is also the same thing I said when we announced ARC-AGI-2 was coming, in Spring 2022, before the rise of LLM chatbots)... The ARC-AGI series is not an AGI threshold, it's a compass that points the research community toward the right questions. ARC-AGI-1 is a minimal test of fluid intelligence -- to pass it, you needed to show nonzero fluid intelligence. This required AI to move past the classic deep learning / LLM paradigm of pretraining scaling + static models at inference, toward test-time adaptation. ARC-AGI-2 is the same, but with tasks that probe deeper levels of reasoning complexity (particularly with regard to concept composition). Still, these are tasks that are solvable in minutes by regular people with no external tool use (we hired our test takers off the street), so it does not represent the upper bound of what human fluid intelligence can achieve (say, solving a Millennium problem). ARC-AGI-3 (launching March 2026) probes interactive reasoning: we evaluate how systems explore unknown environments, model them, set their own goals, and plan/execute towards these goals, autonomously, without instructions. We have also started work on ARC-AGI-4 and ARC-AGI-5, which I am pretty excited about!
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Levi兄是否认同,现在就如库恩所说之anomaly In Thomas Kuhn’s The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, an anomaly is basically a “violation of expectation”—an observation or result that doesn’t behave the way the current paradigm says it should.  What matters (for Kuhn) is what happens next: •Normal science doesn’t treat one anomaly as instant refutation. It usually gets ignored, explained away, or turned into a “puzzle” to be solved inside the paradigm.  •An anomaly becomes historically important only when it persists, spreads, and undermines confidence in normal problem-solving—then the field enters crisis.  •In crisis, scientists start searching for new rules / a new paradigm—what Kuhn calls the prelude to scientific revolution.  Kuhn discusses this most directly in the chapter “Anomaly and the Emergence of Scientific Discoveries”  and then ties anomaly → crisis → new theory explicitly in “Crisis and the Emergence of Scientific Theories.” 
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