the new State of Fertility Report for the US just came out and it’s a real blackpill
the main findings are basically:
- the current fertility decline is worse than any other
- if this keeps going, US population will start declining in less than a generation, much sooner than most forecasts assumed
- americans still want about 2.4 children, but are having fewer than 1.6
- culture matters A LOT. supportive friends, people around you and even celebrities affect how many children people want
- if policymakers actually want to change this, it will require a lot of money and serious interventions
people often say america was built by immigrants, but around 80% of all the people who have ever lived in america were born there and without american children there's no america left
you can use immigration to support population growth for a while, but no country can survive indefinitely if the people already there stop having children